NBA Player Props Bets, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (2/5)
Welcome to February basketball as we are deep into the NBA season with the All-Star break right around the corner. If you're just joining us for the first time, welcome, it's been a great season, and I hope we continue that trend as we get closer and closer to nicer weather. We have an 11-game slate tonight, so we have plenty of selections for betting on props. Some questionable tags are out there, and more will probably pop up closer to game times. As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. Let's get to it.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be a single unit.
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 1-2 | Season: 92-70
Victor Wembanyama Over 27.5 Pts + Ast (-113 at FanDuel)
There has been a lot of movement across the NBA in the last week but arguably the most untouchable player in the league has to be Wemby, right? Between him, Jokic, Giannis, and maybe SGA, it's hard to understand just how little Luka gotta traded for. Anyway, I digress. The Spurs are four-point underdogs tonight in Atlanta with a 242-point game total. That's my main draw to this game. With a total so high, it's surprising how low this combo prop is. Wemby has hit this prop in three of his last five games and absolutely dominated last time against Atlanta with a 42-point effort. He's scored 30 and 27 in his last two games alone in tougher matchups so I'm buying into his ability to get to this prop on scoring alone in a pace-up spot against a sub-par defense. Adding the assists is the cherry on top and a mini insurance as he can get four to six any night.
Buddy Hield Over 14.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-115 at BetMGM)
It's almost always easy to target Washington or Utah when betting on opponent props, and tonight is no different. No team has allowed more PAR to opposing shooting guards than the Jazz and with their bottom-tier defense and pace-up spot, you can see why I like the over. Hield has covered this line in 40% of his last 15 games which isn't exactly promising but knowing he's done that against the likes of Minnesota, Memphis, and Phoenix, I feel comfortable in his chances of doing so against Utah. He's also due for a bit of a bounce back with additional minutes on the radar so he should see the court for 21-22 minutes tonight instead of 17-18 which obviously boosts his possession rate and ability to get over the PAR. If you'd rather go Dennis Schroder here for over points, be my guest, but I'm gonna stick with the starting option that should see more minutes.
Zach LaVine Under 24.5 Pts + Ast (-120 at DraftKings)
In what should be his first game with new threads, I'm surprised at how high LaVine's line is. He's going to a team where the ball will be distributed a lot more and he will be far from the clear centerpiece of the offense. He will be eased in and will be going against the third-best defense in the league, which allows the third-fewest points a game to opposing shooting guards. I really don't understand this line and project him closer to 21 on the combo prop. Feel free to take some alts here, too because there is a chance he only sees the court for 20 minutes in his first game trying to understand the new offense and rotation. I'd be quite shocked if he hits the ground running with a breakout performance.
Other Bets:
Yves Missi Over 9.5 Pts + Ast (-110 at DraftKings)
Jordan Clarkson Under 26.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-117 at FanDuel)
Zaccharie risacher Under 17.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-110 at DraftKings)
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Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.