NBA Player Props & Bets: Wednesday (1/21)
Welcome to another day of NBA player props as we hunker down for the cold after the holiday season. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay up-to-date with the latest news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value.
It was a solid night out last time with a clean 3-0 sweep. Let's do it again, shall we? Today features a solid seven-game slate, so we have a plethora of betting options. Either way, let's get to it.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 3-0 | This Season: 43-32
Miles Bridges Over 25.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115 at Hard Rock Bet)
A little trivia for you to start this article: Over their last 15 NBA games, which team has the most efficient offense? That's right, it’s the Charlotte Hornets. Despite a 7-8 record, they've been playing solid basketball, and now they go up against the fifth-fastest paced team in the league that's had a bottom-10 defense in the same time frame.
The Hornets will never get much respect and Cleveland will get too much, moving this number off what the market price should be. The total here sits at a hefty 237, where the Hornets get the Cavaliers at home, where they see a bump in efficiency. Cleveland has been the best rebounding team in the last 15 games. Miles Bridges should be able to get over his average of six boards a night to help clear this combo prop line of 25.5 against.
Michael Porter Jr. Under 24.5 Points (-110 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
I understand this prop is already nerfed a bit, given the matchup, but not enough to avoid taking the under. This game is going to be an absolute slog. Over the last 15 games, no team has played slower than the Nets, and the Knicks haven't exactly been speed demons out there.
New York also gets a big defensive bump when playing at home, while limiting opposing power forwards to the sixth-fewest points per game on the season. Everything is lining up for Michael Porter Jr. to struggle in a game where his team is a double-digit underdog with a 223 total. He may have covered this line in 10 of his last 15 games, but he's failed to cover it in three of his last five, so I'm going to follow the more recent trends and fade his scoring prop tonight in New York.
Zion Williamson Over 23.5 Points + Assists (-119 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
I understand backing the Pelicans offensively isn't exactly a fun play, but I believe it to be the smart play tonight. The line has gone too far south for a prop that the former number one overall pick has covered in six of his last seven games.
Zion Williamson's minutes have been up of late while looking fully healthy, and his usage rate sits just shy of 30%. Yes, they are facing a tougher defense in Detroit, but the Pistons' stopping unit drops from second to ninth when playing on the road, while the Pelicans’ offense jumps up six spots when playing at home. Don't get me wrong, the Pistons are near double-digit favorites, and I fully expect them to win. I just see Williamson putting up his usual numbers and am riding the over on this combo prop.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.