NBA Player Props & Bets: Wednesday (3/11)
Welcome to another day of NBA player props. History was made yesterday. Hope someone bet the alt 80+ point line for Bam Adebayo. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay up-to-date with the latest news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value.
We have a solid six-game slate tonight to give us plenty of options to choose from. As always, there are still players with questionable tags across the board, so make sure to stay on top of the news. Anyways, let's get to the best bets of the day.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 3-0 | This Season: 66-51
Saddiq Bey Under 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125 at Fanatics Sportsbook)
We hit on Saddiq Bey last time out, so let's go right back to him. I know we all love the Pelicans here, but I'm fading New Orleans tonight, despite being tight favorites. Toronto has been a top-10 defense of late, and they have allowed the eighth-fewest combined points + rebounds + assists to opposing power forwards all season.
Bey hasn't covered this line in four of his last five games, and with a solid outing against Washington (who doesn't have a good game against the Wizards?), we are seeing a bit of an uptick on his line tonight.
Still, Bey's usage should be right around 18%, and I don't expect that to be enough here. The BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet projects this prop closer to 24. Even with the juiced line, there’s a lot of value.
Jalen Brunson Over 36.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115 at Fanatics Sportsbook)
You know the drill. When Utah or Washington is on the menu, I go hunting for some overs. Now, I never recommended blindly betting them, and sometimes they get too inflated, like Karl-Anthony Towns' overs tonight. But for Jalen Brunson, there's still plenty of space to improve. This is a prop that the Knicks guard has covered in two straight games and in three of his last five outings.
On the season, no team has allowed more combined points + rebounds + assists to opposing point guards than the Jazz, and they still rank in the top five in that mark over their last 15 games. Considering they're in full tank mode, and not to mention multiple starters are questionable tonight, I'm happy going in on the Villanova product.
Brunson has been averaging 36 minutes a night across his last two weeks of games with a 27% usage rate. Not to mention, I have to imagine after Bam Adebayo's performance last night, there's a "can I do that?" factor. That has to mean something, right?
Brandon Miller Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-104 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Playing in their second straight game, both on the road, I'm generally fading the Hornets tonight, despite sitting as a double-digit favorite in Sacramento. Brandon Miller's usage has dropped from 29% on the season to 23% in his last four games, while also playing fewer minutes over his last two weeks of play.
The Kings’ defense is bad, yes, but Miller has only covered this line in six of his last 15 games. I don't expect him to do so tonight, despite the friendlier matchup.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.