NBA Player Props & Bets: Wednesday (3/25)
Welcome to another day of NBA player props betting! After going 11-3 over the last five articles, I plan on staying hot here as the weather hopefully warms up wherever you may be as well. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay up-to-date with the latest news. The second best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value.
We have a massive 12-gamer tonight to give us plenty of options to choose from. Of course, there are still players with questionable tags across the board, so make sure to stay on top of the news. Anyways, let's get to the best bets of the day.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be a single unit.
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Wednesday Best NBA Player Props & Bets
Last Time: 0-2 | This Season: 74-54
Jalen Duren Under 25.5 Pts + Ast (-115 bet365)
Detroit has won three straight games since Cade Cunningham has been sidelined, but ranks 18th in offensive rating during that time. It's a small sample size, but a lowering tide lowers ships. Atlanta's pacing may quicken the Pistons here, but the Hawks have also been the second-best defensive team over their last 15 games. He also hasn't covered this line in three straight games and 10 of his last 13 games. Despite the pace-up spot, the total is still 226 points, and Duren doesn't get much of a bump at home. Overall, I expect the under to come through. Atlanta is playing better basketball than they are being priced at the books. Duren, I feel, is the most underpriced as there's a decent chance he doesn't even get to 20 here on the combo prop.
Jarace Walker Under 19.5 Pts + Reb (-110 HardRock)
After a wild win at Orlando, Indianapolis is back in action tonight, hosting the Lakers in Indy. With a total of 240 points, it's tempting to go for the over, but I'm deciding to zag. The Lakers are a top-10 defense with a bottom-seven pace of play over their last 15 games. Half of Indy's offense is either on the injury list still or just coming off the injury report. I don't exactly trust Walker to be able to take the reins of the offense, as his usage has gone down by three percent in the last week of games. After such a surprising win against Orlando, it's hard to see Indiana going back-to-back here as double-digit underdogs. The Pacers limit points and boards to opposing small forwards at the eighth-best rate over their last 30 games. I expect Walker and the Pacers to struggle here and continue their tanking path.
Brandin Podziemski Under 25.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-106 FanDuel)
I was on Brandin Podziemski a week ago, and now I have to switch the flip. Golden State hasn't been great recently, going 5-12 since the All-Star Break. With the injuries sustained, the Warriors have leaned on Podziemski more, with his usage rate consistently at 21 percent while playing 32 minutes a night over the last two weeks of play. But the Golden State guard hasn't covered this line in four of his last five games, and I don't expect him to tonight. Golden State is favored by double-digits, and this total is still only 215. Brooklyn is one of the slowest teams in the league, and their defense has actually improved since the All-Star Break compared to their seasonal average. I imagine this prop would be closer to 22 or 23, so you're getting value on this near even odds prop.
Other Bets:
Matas Buzelis Under 27.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-120 HardRock)
Deni Avdija Under 30.5 Pts + Ast (-110 Caesars)
Walter Clayton Jr. Under 14.5 Pts + Ast (-103 DraftKings)
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Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.