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NBA Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (2/14)

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Here are our top same-game parlay bets for Tuesday’s slate of NBA action.

And here are our other top picks for Tuesday:

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Today’s Best NBA Same Game Parlay Picks

All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks

This is far too high of a total, given the situation. Boston is a heavy underdog in this matchup, and without key facilitators on offense such as Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon, and a now sick Jayson Tatum. It is hard to foresee where the points come from for Boston, and doubtful this game goes Over without some (a lot of) help from the Bucks. Too, while the Celtics are one of the NBA’s deepest teams, the majority of this depth is comprised of positively graded defensive players (see here for FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR player ratings). One more nugget: the Celtics are an astounding 19-7-1 to the Under when on the road this season.

All eyes are on Giannis, so let’s take advantage of Jrue Holiday’s matchup here. This is quite the familiar matchup for these two teams, and Holiday has excelled vs. the C’s in their previous meetings. The Milwaukee PG (and All-Star– congrats, Jrue) has crossed this number in seven of the past ten matchups between these two teams and averages greater than the aggregate 30.5 on the season thus far. We like Holiday to continue to roll, especially so against such a depleted Boston backcourt (see here for the current injury report).

Parlay Odds: +257

Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns

Situationally, there is no better time to pull the trigger on an Under bet. Here are some stats for you: the Suns are 16-12 to the Under at home and 19-15-1 to the Under as a favorite. Sacramento?– they’re 18-9 to the Under on the road and 14-6-1 to the Under as an underdog. Skeptics will cite that the Kings have gone Over in three straight road games, but it’s worth noting that each of these games was trending toward the Under prior to the second half. Also, note the Kings’ elite offense (third in Adjusted Offensive Rating) drops off precipitously away from home. Sacramento’s Offensive Rating drops 7.5 efficiency points when on the road, whereas their defense improves from 27th in the NBA to 13th with the change in venue.

Ayton has been on a tear of late, crossing the 20-point threshold in eight of his past ten games played. But, with Devin Booker back in the lineup, we like Ayton to fall short of this number. Ayton’s points prop usually settles in the upper teens with Booker active, and the Suns’ big man has averaged 16.5 ppg when he shares the court with Booker. Additionally, in the two teams’ previous matchup, it was more of the same, as Booker tallied 44 points to Ayton’s 17. Logically, if we like the game Under, we like Ayton to fall short of his player prop as well. This makes for a highly correlated and smart SGP on a stacked Tuesday night.

Parlay Odds: +272

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