NBA Same Game Parlays & Picks: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (Tuesday)
The Eastern Conference Finals start tonight, with the New York Knicks favored over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Below, I highlight why I think the Cavaliers are being undervalued in this game, even if I expect Donovan Mitchell to struggle from deep. Then I explain which Mitchell Robinson prop I'm backing to boost the odds on my top NBA same game parlays to +1600.
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Tuesday’s Best NBA Same Game Parlays & Picks
(Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks Same Game Parlay
Leg #1: Cavaliers +7.5 (-115)
The Cavaliers and Knicks met three times in the regular season, with each team winning at home. The last time these teams met, the Cavaliers won by 15, holding the Knicks to just 94 points. And while the Knicks won the season series 2-1, they won their two games by a combined 10 points.
While some may be concerned about fatigue after the Cavaliers just played a seven-game series against the Pistons, I'm actually more concerned about the amount of time off the Knicks have had. The Knicks haven't played since May 10.
While rest this time of year is good, the Knicks have won seven consecutive games, with six of those wins coming by double figures. When you're playing that well, you don't want anything to break your rhythm. I still expect the Knicks to win this game, but they’ll be sluggish early, which will allow the Cavaliers to hang around.
Leg #2: Mitchell Robinson 10+ Rebounds (+232)
Mitchell Robinson has had a very quiet postseason. He hasn't pulled down more than eight rebounds in a single game, and he's averaging just 5.3 boards per contest.
Against the Philadelphia 76ers, Robinson managed just 16 rebounds in three games, despite averaging 15.7 minutes. His playing time was up from just 14 minutes per game in round one against the Atlanta Hawks, but he wasn't able to do a lot while on the court.
That said, Robinson has dominated the Cavaliers this season. In two games against them, he has 29 rebounds, grabbing at least 13 boards in both contests. And best of all, Robinson found that success without playing many minutes, as he was never on the court for more than 19 minutes in either game.
Leg #3: Donovan Mitchell Under 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+114)
For my final leg, I'm fading Donovan Mitchell from beyond three-point range. Mitchell made just two threes in two of his three games against the Knicks this season. In the postseason, the Knicks are holding opponents to just 31.2% from beyond the arc, the best of any team. They're also only allowing 10.9 makes per game.
Mitchell was excellent in helping the Cavaliers get past the Pistons, but he made more than two three-pointers in just two of his seven games. He's shooting just 31.1% from deep in the playoffs, and he's averaging only 2.6 made threes per game.
Parlay Odds: +1600
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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.