NBA Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (10/22)
Welcome to NBA Sleeper Picks! Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for tonight's NBA action. Similar to fantasy sports, the goal in Sleeper Picks is to draft a team of players based on who you think will perform better than the field. But with NBA Sleeper Picks, you pick teams of 2-8 players from multiple teams based on your preferences and predict whether those players will score more or less than a predetermined amount. There are a number of ways to play and a variety of strategies to employ, and we’ll guide you through the process each week. Here are our top NBA Sleeper Picks for today’s games.
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NBA Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (10/22/24)
2023-24 regular season record: 202-130
Karl Anthony-Towns (C/F – NYK): OVER 14.5 points (alt line)
KAT looked like a good fit for the Knicks in the preseason and will be a go-to option from day one. KAT hit at least 16 points in each of his last three preseason games and should take more than enough shots to hit at least 15 tonight. The initial total here was 20, but the point reduction increases the probability enough to take on the large multiplier hit. Towns scored at least 20 points in each of his two matchups against Boston last season.
Jalen Brunson (G – NYK): OVER 19.5 points (alt line)
Brunson has been an elite scorer since arriving in New York, but with more mouths to feed after some impact additions this offseason, his scoring average is destined to see a dip. However, taking decisive stances for the first game of the season is tough, especially on slates with only two games. Brunson should still be relatively high volume but will need to stay efficient from the field to come close to matching his 2023-24 averages. With that in mind, an alt line makes more sense and has a much higher probability on the More than the Less does at 26.5. The probability increase makes it worth the drastic multiplier reduction here, especially in an environment where you are required to make two or more picks. Jab the More on Jalen for Tuesday Night Basketball.
LeBron James (F/G – LAL): OVER 19.5 points (alt line)
The line is set at a relatively fair 24.5 for opening night, but we are not looking for fair; we are looking for exploitable opportunities, even if that means three alt lines in one day. LeBron scored 20 or more points in 82 percent of his games last season and averaged 27.5 against the Timberwolves. This would be a More play at 23.5, but the probability shift on one point makes the alt line the shrewd move here. Light up the More on LeBron for opening day.
Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper (and sometimes expiring), so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.
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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.