NCAA Tournament Final Four Best Prop Bets (2022 March Madness)
With all of the exciting upsets of double-digit seeds betting on top opponents and smaller conference teams having some of their best showings ever, we still ended up with some of the most historic programs in College Basketball history in the Final Four. One game features one of the most intense historic rivalries in this game’s history facing off for the first time ever in the tournament. So many great props to choose from with great teams and players competing to cut down the final net.
Freedman’s Favorite Final Four Player Props >>
Most Outstanding Player
Villanova is one of the slowest tempo teams in the country at 341st, and along with both teams, one of the top defenses in the country, there will not be anyone on either side to put up staggering numbers.
While Colin Gillepsie will step up in the absence of Justin Moore, the Wildcats will rely more on their defense to win that game.
This is will undoubtedly hurt Ochai Agbaji’s chances of having a big game. Nova is allowing just over 30% from three, and that defense will take away his perimeter shooting.
That leads to the big battle of Tobacco Road to find the Outstanding Player. Duke’s defense has improved with every game throughout the tournament, and they will be ready after that embarrassing loss in Cameron. Paolo Banchero led the team in that loss with 23 points and, in the win earlier this year, had a solid 13 points and ten rebounds. In that last game, Panchero saw a lot more one-on-one, and he was able to exploit a UNC defense that had not been constant all year. The Blue Devils have done so well in driving to the lane, and Banchero also can hit from long range when they dish it out to him.
Pick: Paolo Banchero +270
Remy Martin to Score 10+ points
Remy Martin has become the player we all expected to be after transferring from ASU. Last season he averaged 19.6 points with the Sun Devils, and just scoring 8.6 this year, he went from a starter to being demoted to coming off the bench. He’s turned it up a notch by scoring 15.8 points per game in just 25.4 minutes per game in the tournament. Look for him to come in to eat up some minutes and contribute in this pivotal game.
Pick: Remy Martin to Score 10+ points (-280)
Total number of points scored in both games O/U 285.5
These two games are going to be a tale of two opposites. Expect the Duke vs. UNC matchup to be a fast, high-scoring offensive showdown, while Kansas vs. Villanova will be a meticulous, slow-paced, and defense emphasized matchup. FanDuel has the total for Kansas-Villanova set at 132.5; for North Carolina and Duke it’s 151. Both Villanova and Kansas have played in some low-scoring games in this tournament, and that should continue. Duke and UNC will be high scoring, but certainly not the 94-81 game during the regular season finale.
Pick: Under 285.5
Kansas total points score O/U 68.5
Villanova got here because of their veteran presence and three-point shooting prowess, but their defense needs to be mentioned.
The Wildcats have not allowed 65 or more points in their last eight games and are allowing an average of 55 points during this tournament. They have a pressing defense that was top 40 in the effective field shooting, and at 17th, they are the best remaining adjusted defense in the tournament, according to KenPom.
As previously mentioned, this is a slowed-pace offense, and with Justin Moore out of this game, this will want to reduce the possessions even fewer.
Pick: Under 68.5
Wendall Moore O/U 1.5 three-pointers made
Moore has made a vast improvement from last season in every facet of his game. He’s seen an increase in points per game (9.7 in 2020-21 to 13.5 2021-22), field goal percentage (41.7 to 50.8), assists (2.7 to 4.4), and three-point percentage (30.1 to 41.1).
Long-range shooting is something Duke will take advantage of in this game. Moore went 2-for-3 in the last game against North Carolina, and the Tar Heels are an abysmal 205th in opponent three-point shooting percentage (34%).
The only concern is that Moore sometimes will go games without attempting a three, including last week against Arkansas. More than enough evidence shows he’s capable, as he’s made over two three-pointers in 36.8% of his game this year.
Pick: Over 1.5
Win $200 if Either Team Hits a Three-Pointer >>
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