NCAA Tournament Final Four Picks: Michigan vs. Arizona
The 2026 NCAA Tournament started with a field of 68 teams, and now we’re down to the Final Four. The No. 3 Illinois Fighting Illini, winners of the South Region, will take on the No. 2 seed UConn Huskies, winners of the East Region. That game takes place at 6:09 p.m. ET on TBS/truTV/HBO Max. At approximately 8:49 p.m. ET, the No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines, winners of the Midwest Region, take on the No. 1 Arizona Wildcats, winners of the West Region. Dive into our top NCAA Tournament Final Four picks for Michigan vs. Arizona.
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Best NCAA Tournament Final Four Picks: Michigan vs. Arizona
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook | All bets are for 1 unit
No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (-125) vs. No. 1 Arizona Wildcats (+104)
The Wolverines (35-3) and Wildcats (36-2) meet in a battle of No. 1 seeds in what could be considered the main event after the Illinois-UConn undercard. Michigan-Arizona is a battle of heavyweights, featuring two teams that have spent considerable time at the top of the rankings this season.
Michigan is in the Final Four for the ninth time, although two of those appearances have been vacated. It won in 1989 in Seattle’s Kingdome, with head coach Steve Fisher leading Glen Rice, Rumeal Robinson and Loy Vaught to the school’s only National Championship.
In that run to the championship, Michigan met Illinois in the Final Four. They won 83-81. The powers that be in the Big Ten would love to see a rematch this season for all of the marbles, guaranteeing the conference a championship.
Arizona is making its fifth appearance in the Final Four, and its lone National Championship came in 1997 under the late Lute Olson. Mike Bibby, Michael Dickerson, Jason Terry and Miles Simon led the way, and a freshman named Josh Pastner, formerly the head coach of Memphis, Georgia Tech and currently at UNLV, was on the roster.
These teams meet for the first time since November 21st, 2021 - an 80-62 victory for Arizona as 3.5-point underdogs, as the under (146.5) cashed at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Arizona has won and covered all three meetings since December 14th, 2013, as the over has a 2-1 edge in those meetings.
Michigan opened the postseason with a 0-4 ATS mark, but it has covered three in a row in double-digit victories over Saint Louis, Alabama and Tennessee. The over is 4-1 in the past five games.
Arizona has won 13 in a row, including six victories to finish out the regular season. It is 5-2 ATS in seven postseason games, and 7-3 ATS across the past 10 games since February 28th. The over is 4-2 in the past six games, too. We should see plenty of offense in this battle in Indianapolis.
And, like the game above, it’s shocking to see Arizona as the underdog. It is the better team, and it will show it on Saturday night in Indianapolis. I’m expecting the Big Ten to go 0-for-2 in the Final Four, setting up a UConn-Arizona battle for all of the marbles, and their “One Shining Moment” on Monday.
Picks: Arizona Moneyline (+104) & Over 157.5 Points (-108)
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