NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlays: Michigan vs. Arizona (Final Four)

by Dan Servodidio |
Apr 04, 2026

It all comes down to the Final Four. The 2026 NCAA Tournament rolls on with a pair of semifinal games on tap for Saturday, April 4th. Let’s dive into the best NCAA Tournament same game parlays (SGPs) before the games tip off.

In this article, we’ll dish out an SGP for the Michigan versus Arizona showdown. Note that these betting lines are accurate as of writing, but are always subject to change. Without further ado, let’s get to our best SGPs.

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Saturday's Best NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlays

(Odds courtesy of BetMGM)

Michigan Wolverines vs. Arizona Wildcats

Leg 1: Arizona Team Total Under 80.5 Points (-160)
Leg 2: Koa Peat Under 15.5 Points (-115)
Leg 3: Trey McKenney Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-111)
Leg 4: Yaxel Lendeborg Over 2.5 Assists (-185)

Leg 1: Arizona Team Total Under 80.5 Points (-160)

Arizona might win this game, but the offense could be held in check at times. Michigan boasts the top-ranked defensive efficiency in the country, per KenPom, while allowing the second-lowest opposing shooting rate (38.4%). The Wolverines own an elite interior defense and defend the three-pointer at a high clip as well.

Michigan's ability to shut down the paint will especially make it tough on Arizona here. The Wolverines are third nationally in both two-point defense and block rate. The Wildcats lean on their two-point scoring at the 14th-highest rate in the sport. Conversely, they rank 360th in three-point attempts per game. Michigan also regularly forces teams to play slower, ranking 310th in defensive tempo.

All in all, Arizona could have trouble cracking 80 points in this matchup. Michigan has given up more than 80 points only three times this season, and it hasn't happened since early January. It's just a high bar to hit, even if Arizona wins the game.

Leg 2: Koa Peat Under 15.5 Points (-115)

Since we expect Arizona to be somewhat held in check offensively, so too should Koa Peat. The stud freshman has been a major factor for the Wildcats, averaging 17.5 points per game in the NCAA Tournament. However, this is a tough matchup for him to keep up the scoring.

As noted above, Michigan has one of the top interior defenses, ranking third in both two-point defense and block rate. That's bad news for Peat, who thrives on scoring inside and finishing around the rim. He also doesn't stretch the floor much, shooting just 6-of-19 (31%) from beyond the arc this entire season.

Scoring won't come easily for Peat in this game. Michigan has the size and depth inside to disrupt him and force Arizona to look elsewhere for offense. The Wolverines can rotate multiple physical defenders onto him, headlined by power forwards Yaxel Lendeborg and Morez Johnson Jr., while 7-foot-3 center Aday Mara provides elite rim protection.

Leg 3: Trey McKenney Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-111)

Trey McKenney is an under-the-radar player to watch in this game. The freshman wing has been Michigan's most reliable three-point shooter from a statistical standpoint. He leads the team from beyond the arc (38%), and he's knocked down 63 triples this season - just one shy of Yaxel Lendeborg for the team lead.

That outside shooting could be especially important against Arizona, which defends the paint well. McKenny has hit multiple threes in 13 of his last 19 games, connecting at a 41.3% clip from deep during this span. He only went 1-of-3 from long range in the Elite 8, but that also came in a blowout where he played just 19 minutes. In the two games before, he shot 3-of-5 and 2-of-3 from three against Alabama and Saint Louis, respectively.

Plus, L.J. Cason's season-ending injury in late February has now put McKenney in an increased role. That should give him enough minutes and three-point shot volume to knock down at least two from deep in this Final Four game.

Leg 4: Yaxel Lendeborg Over 2.5 Assists (-185)

Alright, we round out this parlay with Michigan's best player. Yaxel Lendeborg has been dominating throughout the NCAA Tournament. He's averaging 25 points per game over the past three games, with at least 23 points in each. Lendeborg is also shooting 59% from the field and 50% from three during the tourney so far.

We mention all that to say that we're targeting his assists prop. Arizona will likely do everything it can to slow Lendeborg down and force others to step up. The Wildcats also have a strong interior defense, which will limit his effectiveness in the paint on offense. That should lead to the power forward playing more of a distributor role, especially if he potentially gets double-teamed in some instances.

Lendeborg is an excellent passing big man, and he knows how to find his teammates for good looks. He's been doing it all season. The senior is averaging 3.3 assists per game this year and 4.3 in the NCAA Tournament. He also has at least three assists in 12 of the last 17 games, averaging 3.8 assists in this stretch.

Parlay Odds: +450

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