New England Patriots at Philadelphia Eagles Odds & Game Pick

Last we saw the New England Patriots, they were not only taking their first loss of the season but they were getting blown out in the process. Now, fresh off a bye week, they’ll take the on the Philadelphia Eagles in a rematch of Super Bowl LII. Even though they have made it to three straight Super Bowls and actually won three of the last five overall, the Patriots still talk about the sour taste that their loss to the Philadelphia Eagles has left with them.

Many people felt this matchup could be a Super Bowl preview for this season, but as we take a look at the betting lines, the Patriots are a 3.5-point road favorite in this spot. Can the Eagles surprise here – or at least cover?

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Details

• Opening Line: New England -3
• Current Line: New England -3.5
• Over/Under: 44.5
• Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Start Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Last Meeting: Eagles 35 at Patriots 28 (12/6/15)

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Overview

Since taking over as the head coach of the Patriots in 2000, Bill Belichick is 14-5 in games directly following a bye week. New England has won its last two coming off a bye week and four of its last five overall in such situations. They’ve also covered four straight.

Considering their remaining schedule, the Patriots need to find a way to get back on track in a hurry in order to remain in the driver seat to clinch the top seed in the AFC. New England still has to play road games versus the Eagles (this week) and the Houston Texans. The Patriots also have to play the Dallas Cowboys, Buffalo Bills, and an AFC Championship game rematch with the Kansas City Chiefs at home. For their part, New England’s defense should be able to find a way to respond following its worst performance of the season by far in a 37-20 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. Despite ranking among the league leaders with an average of 30.0 points per game, the offense has been a bit shaky at times (by their standards). We’ll see if they’ve worked on a few things during their bye week.

Meanwhile, Philadelphia is searching for a level of consistency that has eluded them since their memorable Super Bowl run. The Eagles are coming off back-to-back wins over the Bills and Bears. However, as impressive as their wins over teams like Buffalo and the Packers have been, Philadelphia has also suffered blowout losses to teams like the Minnesota Vikings and Dallas Cowboys. So, how will the Eagles respond in this matchup? An offense that has averaged just 24.9 points per game could be in a tough position to move the ball against an angry New England front-seven. Meanwhile, the Eagles’ defense has been the victim of countless big plays this season, which is a worrying trend that could come back to haunt them again in Week 11.

Trends

• Patriots are 10-2 SU and ATS in last 12 regular season games vs. AFC opponents
• New England is 13-1 SU in last 14 games overall
• Eagles have won 6 of last 7 at home
• Philadelphia is 2-10 SU and ATS in last 12 as a home underdog
• Total has gone over in 5 of last 6 head-to-head meetings

Bottom Line

All eyes will be on Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday to see how the Patriots respond following their first loss in nearly a full calendar year. It will also be interesting to see how Philadelphia responds coming off of a bye of its own in a must-win situation. While the Eagles have figured out a way to claw their way back into the NFC East title race, they haven’t looked anything like the team that went to the Super Bowl just two seasons ago. New England will be hunting for redemption in more ways than one. The smart money is on the Patriots to win and cover in this Super Bowl LII rematch.

Prediction: Patriots 31, Eagles 27

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Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 10

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (+6.5)
Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions (+7)
New York Jets at Washington Redskins (-2.5)
Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5)
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (-4.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5)
Denver Broncos at Minnesota Vikings (-10)
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-9)
Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders (-11.5)
Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams (-6)
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers (+4)

Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.