New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Sports Betting Guide
At the beginning of the season, we thought we would be seeing a quarterback matchup of Drew Brees versus Nick Foles in this one. Instead, it will be Teddy Bridgewater versus Gardner Minshew in Jacksonville. While the leaders of these offenses are not what we expected, both units are running well and it should be a good matchup overall.
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Saints vs Jaguars Odds and Info
All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Opening Lines: JAC -1, O/U 44
- Moneyline: NO (+102) | JAC (-116)
- Spread: NO +1 (-105) | JAC -1 (-115)
- Total: 44 — Over: (-120) | Under: (+100)
- Location: TIAA Bank Stadium — Jacksonville, FL
- Start Time: 1 pm ET
- Coverage: CBS
Injuries
- New Orleans Saints: QB Drew Brees (Q), DE Trey Hendrickson (Q), WR Tre’Quan Smith (Q)
- Jacksonville Jaguars: S Ronnie Harrison (Q), CB Jalen Ramsey (Q), DE Lerentee McCray (Q), CB D.J. Hayden (Q), TE Josh Oliver (Q)
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Overview
Teddy Bridgewater has led the Saints to three straight wins over the Seahawks, Cowboys, and Buccaneers. While he started as just a game manager, simply letting his playmakers do all the work, Teddy’s confidence has grown and it shows in his play. His average depth of target continues to increase, with an aDOT of 7.2 yards last week, which allowed Michael Thomas to get his first 100-yard game this season without Brees, Ted Ginn to catch a 33-yard touchdown, and Jared Cook even found the end zone. Defensively, Marshon Lattimore is playing like a true shut-down corner, but the rest of the secondary can be exposed, shown by Tampa Bay’s 24 points and two passing touchdowns last week. But it is the pass rush that won the game on the defensive side of the ball, totaling six sacks.
The Jaguars’ offense continues to get better each week, scoring 12, 20, 26, and 27 over the four weeks of Gardner Minshew as the starter. “Minshew Mania†has taken over the league, throwing seven touchdowns to no interceptions as the starter, averaging 251 passing yards and 29.5 rushing yards in the four games. While the offense is clicking, it’s the defense that has been struggling. In Week 4, they gave up 303 yards and three touchdowns to Joe Flacco. Last week, they were able to get pressure on Kyle Allen, but their inability to contain Christian McCaffrey (237 yards and three touchdowns) led to their demise. They face a similar dual-threat running back in Alvin Kamara this week.
Trends
- New Orleans is 3-7 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games.
- The total has hit the under in four of New Orleans’ last five road games.
- New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its six games against Jacksonville.
- The total has hit the under in five of Jacksonville’s last six home games.
- Jacksonville is 0-6 ATS in its last six games against the NFC South division.
- The Saints lead the all-time series with the Jaguars, 4-2.
- Last Meeting: December 27, 2015 — The Saints defeated the Jaguars, 38-27, at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
Prop Bet
All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.
First Half Spread: New Orleans Saints 0 (+100)
For this prop, you’re just picking the team that will have the lead at the half. Surprisingly enough, the Saints, with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback, have jumped out to leads. The Saints have had halftime leads in each of his starts, with an average lead of 8.7 points. The Jaguars have trailed at the half in three of the four games under Gardner Minshew, with him normally heating up in the second half.
Bottom Line
Gardner Minshew has been pressured more often the past two weeks, causing him to complete less than 60 percent of passes in both games. The Saints’ defense has been getting pressure and playing good overall defense the past two weeks against Jameis Winston and Dak Prescott. With Marshon Lattimore likely assigned to shut down D.J. Chark for Jacksonville, I do not think they have enough other offensive weapons to compete with the stacked Saints’ offense.
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Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 6
Seattle Seahawks vs. Cleveland Browns (+1.5)
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-4)
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Minnesota Vikings (-3)
Washington Redskins vs. Miami Dolphins (+3.5)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens (-10.5)
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay (+2)
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets (+7)
Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)
Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos (-2)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams (-3)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5)
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers (-3.5)
Zach Brunner is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Zach, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyFlurry.