New York Giants vs. Los Angeles Rams Odds & Game Pick (2020)

The New York Giants are headed to Los Angeles to brand new SoFi Stadium to take on the Rams. This was set to be an exciting late afternoon contest with Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey taking on superstar running back Saquon Barkley and his emerging quarterback in Daniel Jones. Instead, Barkley is out for the season, and the Giants may be deciding whether or not tanking for Trevor should be a thing before this week is out.

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Overview

The 0-3 New York Giants have their work cut out for them this week if they have any designs at ending their winless streak at three games. Taking on the Los Angeles Rams with Saquon Barkley out for the season puts them well behind the eight ball before the two teams even take the field. The Giants have scored just 38 points all season, and are struggling to move the ball without their superstar running back to keep defenders focused on the run. The 38 total points scored is the worst mark in the NFC. 

The Los Angeles Rams sit at 2-1 after a heartbreaking and controversial loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 3. Their strong record may be a bit misleading as they narrowly escaped with a Week 1 victory over the struggling Dallas Cowboys. Week 2's win was convincing but came at the expense of the anemic 0-2-1 Philadelphia Eagles. Los Angeles lucked out by having the AFC East and the NFC East on the schedule this year and should cruise to a playoff berth in the expanded postseason as long as they can avoid any key injuries. 

Trends

• Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four contests as a road underdog 
• Rams are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five contests as a road favorite 
• Over is 4-1 in the Giants last five contests overall 
• Over is 5-1 in Rams last six contests overall 
• Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five contests between these two teams 

Prop Bets

Darrell Henderson over 69.5 rushing yards (-110)
Henderson has rushed for 97.5 yards per game since Cam Akers went down. The Rams have rightly tapped his as the lead back with their prized rookie sidelined, and he has not disappointed. This week he gets a Giants team that has relinquished 123 rushing yards per game. They have held opponents to just 3.8 yards per carry thanks to an impressive defensive front that features Leonard Williams and Dexter Lawrence. Henderson has the cutting ability, contact balance, and short-area quickness to succeed against a front with plus defenders like Lawrence and Williams, but may still be held to a low yards per carry. The thought process here is that even if he is held under four yards, he will just need to see 18-20 carries to hit this total. In a game the Rams are heavy favorites in, Henderson should match or exceed the 20 carries he saw in last week’s loss to the Bills. Fire Henderson up as a one unit play. 

Final Thoughts 

The total for this contest is high enough that I would be tapping the under without the assistance of trends. This is especially true when one considers that the Giants are the lowest scoring team in the NFC with just 12.7 points per game. This means the Rams may need to score 36 points in order for the over to hit. The Rams have averaged 29.3 points per game and have scored 35 or more points in back to back games. With the over being 4-1 in the Giants last five contests and 5-1 in Rams last six contests overall, the over is the easy tap at BetMGM. 

The spread is another story, there is no easy lean on a 13 point spread, especially with an offensively anemic team like the Giants on the other side. Los Angeles should score at least 30 points barring any self-inflicted wounds that cost them points. The Giants may struggle to get past 14. Both teams have strong trends backing them as a smart play. Los Angeles is the far superior team in this contest, and will, in all likelihood, lead by more than two scores at some point of this contest. Take the Rams to cover but hit a live line hedge if the backdoor threat becomes too much of a possibility late. 

Pick: Rams -13 (-110) & Over 48 (-110)

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.