NFL Divisional Round Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (Sunday)
The Divisonal Round of the NFL Playoffs should be a barn-burner, with Sunday’s slate featuring four of the league’s top seven scoring offenses. How will Bengals-Bills unfold following the untimely cancellation of the initial matchup in Week 17? Can Brock Purdy continue his streak of efficient game-managing against a feisty Dallas defense? Those questions and more will be answered by the end of the weekend.
Best Player Prop Bets for NFL Division Round (Sunday)
Below, we take a look at a handful of our favorite props from Sunday of the Division Round of the NFL playoffs.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen (QB – BUF): UNDER 47.5 Rushing Yards (-114 via FanDuel)
Josh Allen is obviously one of the most notable running quarterbacks in the league, but this rushing line is lofty relative to his recent efforts on the ground. Though he’s cleared this yardage line seven times on the year, Allen has only done so twice across his last eight games.
Last weekend in a game the Bills won by only three points, Allen took off to run only four times, totaling a meager 20 yards. What has made the Bengals’ defense effective in the playoffs over the past couple of years has been their ability to tailor the game plan to the opposing offense. Knowing how difficult Allen’s mobility can make it when trying to get Buffalo’s offense off the field, I expect Cincinnati to devise a scheme that keeps him somewhat in check.
The difference between DraftKings and FanDuel on this prop is negligible. Both spots feature the line at 47.5 yards. FanDuel has the narrowest of edges on the odds, -114 to -115.
Gabriel Davis (WR – BUF): Any Time Touchdown Scorer (+160 via FanDuel)
When the lights are at their brightest, Gabriel Davis seems to shine. It was a year ago in the Divisional Round matchup against the Chiefs that Davis exploded for a playoff-record four touchdowns. Davis scored a touchdown in seven separate games this season. With a lofty game total threatening to break into the 50s, there should be no shortage of scoring opportunities for skill players on both sides.
Davis was inconsistent throughout the regular season but showed his value in the Buffalo passing attack in last weekend’s Wild Card Round win over the Dolphins. He snagged six of nine targets for 113 yards and yet another playoff touchdown in the win.
FanDuel provides more favorable odds on a Davis touchdown at +160 compared to +150 at DraftKings.
Hayden Hurst (TE – CIN): OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards (-114 via FanDuel)
As Joe Burrow’s cast of weapons at wide receiver–Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, et al–threatens down the field, Hayden Hurst has shown a knack for getting lost in the shuffle over the middle. Though Hurst has cleared this receiving line just seven times on the season, he’s done so in five of his past nine games.
Burrow has demonstrated trust in his tight end as a chain-mover in meaningful situations. We saw that chemistry briefly working at the beginning of Week 17’s canceled game between the Bills and Bengals as Hurst tallied two catches for 25 yards within the first handful of minutes of the contest.
Hurst’s receiving line at DraftKings sits at 33.5 yards (-110). Despite slightly less favorable odds at -114, we prefer the more attainable FanDuel line of 30.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers
Brock Purdy (QB – SF): OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-128 via FanDuel)
Brock Purdy has been a model of consistency since being thrust into the role of starting quarterback for the 49ers. Mr. Irrelevant has thrown for two or more passing touchdowns in each of his last seven games played.
Although the Cowboys present a unique challenge to the rookie, I don’t see any reason Purdy can’t continue to thrive based on the talent around him and the scheme Kyle Shanahan dials up for him. Dallas has one of the stingiest red-zone run defenses in the league, allowing just nine rushing touchdowns all year. If the Niners are going to hit their implied team total in the mid-20s, it’ll be up to Purdy to distribute the rock.
FanDuel has Purdy at -128 odds to go OVER 1.5 touchdown passes. The 2+ touchdown line at DraftKings has odds of -135, making FanDuel the preferred spot on what amounts to an identical line.
Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL): UNDER 34.5 Rushing Yards (+105 via DraftKings)
Even if he were running hot recently, the matchup with San Francisco would be a nightmare for Ezekiel Elliott. As it stands, Zeke is decidedly not running hot. He has compiled 37 rushing yards on 21 attempts over the past two weeks. Now he faces a Niners run defense that has allowed just 79.2 rushing yards per game on the season.
No wonder the rushing line for the inferior Dallas RB sits at an alarmingly low 34.5 yards. If the Cowboys insist upon feeding Zeke instead of tapping into the speed and athletic ability of Tony Pollard this week, it’s going to limit their ability to pull off an upset. While FanDuel’s odds on this prop sit at -114, DraftKings actually offers the same number with juicy +105 odds on UNDER.
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