NFL Midseason Futures Best Bets: Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
Here are a few of our favorites if you’re looking for some midseason bets.
MVP
Lamar Jackson (+1200)
The Ravens have the easiest remaining schedule in the NFL, and the number one seed in the AFC is within reach. Additionally, if Baltimore does attain a postseason bye, it is likely that both Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen will sputter down the stretch.
There is a realistic path for Lamar to win his second MVP, and the narrative would be compelling if he did so in a contract season. Perhaps no player is more integral to their team’s offense than Lamar Jackson. Pay the man.
Offensive Player of the Year
Tyreek Hill (+350)
Perhaps we are buying Tyreek at his peak, but the Miami WR is on a historic pace through nine games. If Tyreek breaks Calvin Johnson’s Receiving Yardage record, it would be stunning were the voters to crown any other player.
Defensive Player of the Year
Micah Parsons (-225)
This is a chalk play, but there is no other option. Nick Bosa (+900) and Myles Garrett (+1100) have had exceptional seasons, but both players have missed time due to injury and have significant ground to make up from a narrative perspective. Parsons has drawn comparison to the great Lawrence Taylor this season, and it would be stunning if the award did not go to the best player on the best defense in the NFL.
Offensive Rookie of the Year
Dameon Pierce (+200)
Kenneth Walker (+125) has flashed, but Pierce has had a better season overall. There is a reasonable chance that Pierce ends the year with a better stat-line than Walker, and it would not be surprising were voters to award him for the totality of his work.
Defensive Rookie of the Year
Sauce Gardner (-110)
Sauce is currently the No. 3 rated cornerback per Pro Football Focus, and it is extremely unusual for rookie cornerbacks to have such success in the NFL. Frankly, these odds are laughable. If the season ended today, there is no chance Sauce Gardner wouldn’t be the DROTY.
Comeback Player of the Year
Geno Smith (-135)
The Seahawks are currently -250 to make the playoffs, and if they do so, the castoff QB will surely go home with the hardware. Smith’s only true competition is New York RB Saquon Barkley (+140). Barkley’s return to form as one of the NFL’s best RBs has been a revelation, but his comeback does not compare to the career renaissance of Geno Smith.
Coach of the Year
Kevin O’Connell (+700)
The Vikings have coasted to a 7-1 start, and the number one seed in the NFC is not unattainable. If the rookie HC leads his team to a bye (and possibly the NFL’s best record), he will be a lock for Coach of the Year. Additionally, a division championship is an essential prerequisite to winning COTY, and no team is more heavily favored to win their division than Minnesota (-2200). This a terrific value play at the current odds.
Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers (+1200)
The 49ers have reached the Conference Championship game twice in the past half-decade, and it would not be surprising to see them do so again. San Francisco’s defense is among the NFL’s best, and their offensive skill players are perhaps the best in the league with the recent acquisition of All-Pro RB Christian McCaffrey.
Dallas Cowboys (+1500)
The Cowboys have the number one rated defense per Football Outsiders’ DVOA, and it is not unreasonable to proclaim QB Dak Prescott to be the best at his position in the current NFC playoff picture. An elite defense and signal caller are crucial elements to an unlikely playoff run, and this core group in Dallas has prior playoff experience to boot.
Los Angeles Chargers (+3300)
The Chargers’ season had threatened to derail due to injury, but they have kept their heads above water in a crowded AFC. If LAC gets healthy, they are capable of beating any opponent, and certainly wouldn’t be priced at 33-1 if they sneak into the playoffs. The Chargers were +1400 to take home the Lombardi prior to the season, be happy to back them at such a discount.
Division Winner
Seattle Seahawks (+150)
One rarely gets the opportunity to bet on a division leader at such a price midway through the year. The Seahawks have won four in a row, have a favorable schedule moving forward, and currently own a 1.5-game lead on the San Francisco 49ers (-125) in the NFC West. Gladly back Seattle at this price.
Dallas Cowboys (+450)
It won’t be easy to supplant Philadelphia atop the NFC East, but the Cowboys are an exceptional team, and there shouldn’t be many losses left on their schedule. It will take some good fortune, but the NFC East may be decided when the Eagles visit Dallas on Christmas Eve.
Miami Dolphins (+500)
The Dolphins are a perfect 6-0 in games that QB Tua Tagovailoa has started and finished and have already beaten the division-leading Bills once. Additionally, with Buffalo QB Josh Allen’s injury status in flux, Miami could quickly find itself in the driver’s seat in the AFC East.
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