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NFL Monday Night Football Best Bets & Picks (Packers vs. Saints)

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Monday Night Football in Week 16 of the NFL season is a bit lackluster. The 10-4 Green Bay Packers are hosting the depleted 5-9 Saints. 

The Saints are 6-8 against the spread (ATS) the season, while the Packers are 7-6-1. 

The Packers won in Week 15, while the Saints are coming off a loss. 

Below are my best bets for tonight’s game.

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    Best Week 16 NFL Monday Night Football Picks: Packers vs. Saints

    (Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

    Packers -14 (-115)

    The Saints are a completely decimated roster at this point. Quarterback Derek Carr is likely out for the season, and rookie Spencer Rattler is drawing the start this week. The Saints average 16 points per game when any quarterback not named Carr suits up for them. That includes last week when they scored a touchdown they probably shouldn’t have if not for a clock error.

    Rattler is a Day 3 rookie quarterback. He has completed 57.5% of his passes for 706 yards, 5.9 yards per attempt, two touchdowns and two interceptions this season. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), he has six turnover-worthy plays.

    In addition, several players are injured and out, including Carr. The list includes: Alvin Kamara, Bub Means, Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed and, potentially, Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

    I simply cannot point to any path for the Saints to score many points, especially on the road at Lambeau Field.

    The Packers should win easily.

    Josh Jacobs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-280)

    The odds on this aren’t great at -280, but I’d be utterly shocked if Josh Jocabs doesn’t score tonight.

    Jacobs has scored in each of the last five games. He has nine scores over that span. The Packers are 14-point home favorites.

    On top of this, the Saints allow nearly 105 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown per game to the running back position. They’re also surrendering 4.8 yards per carry.

    This could be the perfect addition to a parlay.

    There’s no way Jacobs doesn’t score.

    Tucker Kraft Under 3.5 Receptions (-155)

    This season, Tucker Kraft has 41 receptions through 14 games, averaging about three catches per game.

    Given the line, he’s had four catches or more in just one of his last five games.

    There’s also the element of wondering how often the Packers will need to throw in this game. Again, they’re 14-point home favorites. Will they need to throw to a point where the tight end will buck his reception trend? I don’t see this game being a shootout or the need to force multiple balls to Kraft.

    I’ll take the under.

    Make sure to check out our other best bets for Monday:

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