NFL Monday Night Football Player Props: Falcons vs. Saints (Week 4)
The NFC South takes the spotlight on Monday Night Football to close out Week 4 with a matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints. Oddsmakers have the Saints valued as -1.5-point betting favorites at home in the Caesars Superdome, with the point total set at 47.5.
My NFL Monday Night Football Player Props: Eagles vs. Bears (Week 3) settled 1-2. Jalen Hurts’ passing woes (16-25-153-0-1) never came close to cashing 210+ passing yards, while WR Devonta Smith fell just shy of 70+ Receiving Yards (65 receiving yards) despite a positive game script during. D’Andre Swift’s late-game usage led to 60+ Rushing Yards cashing, finishing 20-84.
I’ve found my three favorite player props to bet on in the Falcons vs. Saints game on Monday Night Football. Follow me on X @Matt_MacKay for more NFL betting analysis and free picks.
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Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Bets – Week 4: Falcons vs. Saints
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Alvin Kamara Under 37.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Travis Etienne’s injury will elevate Alvin Kamara’s role in the Saints’ backfield. Unfortunately for the veteran running back, Atlanta’s run defense has been stout, holding opponents to 68 or fewer total rushing yards in every game this season.
Kamara has handled 9 carries in both of his starts in Kellen Moore’s offense. Expect Kamara to take on more of a receiving role in this matchup, especially with QB Tyler Shough’s high-tier passing production.
We’ve seen Kamara go 9-15 against the Ravens and 9-36 against the Raiders. His total carries are set to 11.5, as Kendre Miller and C.J. Donaldson will also rotate into the backfield throughout this game.
Fade Kamara as a ball carrier in a tough matchup, as he’s still recovering from his MCL sprain. Bet on Kamara Under 37.5 Rushing Yards at -111 odds.
Noah Fant Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Shough has been airing out the football for the Saints through three games, targeting tight ends heavily, including Noah Fant. Now in his 8th year in the league, Fant has seen 12 targets through 3 starts for New Orleans, failing to log a target against the Ravens in Week 2.
Against the Raiders, Fant wound up hauling in all 4 targets for 4-33-2. He’s a reliable target in the red zone, and the Falcons have surrendered 270+ passing yards to Bryce Young and Jordan Love in consecutive outings.
Fant has finished with 33 receiving yards in both of his starts with at least 1+ targets. He’s going to remain involved in the game plan on Monday night.
Bet on Fant Over 16.5 Receiving Yards at -115 odds.
Bijan Robinson Under 4.5 Receptions (-115)
The Falcons’ star running back, Bijan Robinson, is set up for another big night on the ground against the Saints. New Orleans has allowed 108+ rushing yards to every opponent this season, and Robinson is coming off a scorching hot 20-194-2 as a ball carrier.
With QB Michael Penix Jr. under center, the Falcons’ offense looked much different from the first two weeks. They should be able to stay ahead of schedule and feed Robinson carries, although he is an elite receiver out of the backfield when tasked, finishing Week 1 with 8-90-1 on 10 targets.
Robinson has not drawn more than 4 targets in his last two starts. The Saints’ defense has struggled to contain the run, so expect Falcons OC Tommy Rees to lean into Robinson’s talent as a ball carrier, negating his usage as a receiver in a game that Atlanta should win.
Bet on Bijan Robinson Under 4.5 Receptions at -115 odds to finish my Week 4 Monday Night Football player prop betting card.
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