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NFL Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Bills vs. Vikings

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NFL Week 9 concludes with a marquee Monday Night Football matchup. The Minnesota Vikings host the Buffalo Bills in a showdown of top contenders in their respective conferences. The Bills are 3-point road favorites with a 43.5 over/under. Let’s break down the best NFL Monday Night Football same game parlay (SGP) to lock in before kickoff. Check out which NFL picks and player props to include. Good luck.

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NFL Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Bills vs. Vikings

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings 

    Carson Wentz will get the start for Minnesota with Kyler Murray sidelined this week. You can argue that Wentz actually upgrades the Vikings' passing attack. Whether you believe that or not, one of his pass-catchers can be productive in this matchup. 

    Buffalo allows 70.6 receiving yards per game to tight ends, the fourth-most in the league. The Bills also give up the fourth-most targets per game to the position. That brings us to T.J. Hockenson, who's been more productive lately. The Vikings tight end has 93 receiving yards over the past two games combined, with touchdowns in both.

    Hockenson has been up and down this season, but this favorable matchup points to a good game. Plus, Wentz could look to his tight end for easy completions, especially since the Bills’ defense tends to funnel targets there. In two games with Wentz at quarterback earlier this season, Hockenson recorded 36 and 29 yards. He has at least 35 yards in four out of seven games this season, which is enough to feel good about him hitting 40+ this week. 

    Meanwhile, let's fade a tight end on the other side of this game. Dalton Kincaid has been inconsistent this season. He's averaging 57.3 yards per game but has also been held to fewer than 40 yards in four games. Kincaid now faces a Minnesota defense that allows a league-low 3.1 receptions per game to the position. The Vikings also allow the fourth-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends. 

    Let's return to Minnesota for our final pick. The Bills allow a league-high 8.7 targets per game to running backs. They also give up the second-most receptions (six) and fourth-most receiving yards (44.4) per game to running backs. Those stats also support the idea that Wentz could check down to his running backs for easier completions. 

    In the Vikings' backfield, Aaron Jones is the better pass-catcher than Jordan Mason. Jones has 15 catches for 90 yards this season, compared to Mason's zero receptions. Jones has at least 18 receiving yards in three of the last five games, with 34 yards in two of those. He can easily get to 10+ yards against a defense that tends to funnel passes to backs. 

    Parlay Odds: +575

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