NFL Parlay Picks Week 7 (2020)
Once again, my weekly parlay should’ve hit. But the Houston Texans couldn’t convert a 2-point conversion to go up nine points to seal the deal against Tennessee before losing by a touchdown in overtime.
These brutal beats have got to stop. Hopefully, luck will finally swing our way in Week 7. I don’t love too many sides this week, so we’ll be turning to two totals.
View consensus odds from all major sportsbooks for Week 7 of the NFL >>
Leg 1: Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons Over 54.5
Let’s start things off with an over. The Falcons offense was firing on all cylinders last weekend in a road upset over the Minnesota Vikings. The reason why? Julio Jones is back and healthy. Jones went off for eight receptions, 137 yards and scored two touchdowns last week. His presence alone makes Atlanta’s offense more dynamic. He and Calvin Ridley should have success against a Lions secondary that’s allowing 6.6 net yards per pass attempt.
I don’t need to go into too much depth on Atlanta’s defense. Yes, Dan Quinn is gone. But this is still a shoddy unit that’s surrendered the most passing yards and passing touchdowns in the league. Matthew Stafford isn’t elite, but he’s just as good if not better than Kirk Cousins, who racked up 343 yards and three touchdowns in a losing effort.
Detroit’s weaponry is underrated. Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones make up an underrated receiving duo. D’Andre Swift could be in for a big game, as Atlanta’s allowed 46 receptions to opposing tailbacks. Oh, and the Falcons also can’t cover tight ends. They’ve given up 40 catches, 438 yards and a league-high seven touchdowns to opposing tight ends, which means T.J. Hockenson could go off.
The over is 7-4 in the 11 games played by both teams. This game has all the makings of an over.
Leg 2: Green Bay Packers at Houston Texans Over 57
This game will be headlined by the quarterbacks, but Green Bay’s running game could steal the show by dominating on the ground. The Texans are allowing 177 rushing yards per game, which spells bad news against Aaron Jones and a running attack averaging five yards per attempt.
But don’t worry, Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson should get theirs too. Both teams have been below average against the pass and are allowing 6.7 net yards per pass attempt. After a slow start to the season, Watson has thrown for 635 yards and six touchdowns in his last two outings. Meanwhile, Rodgers will look to bounce back after last weekend’s meltdown against Tampa Bay.
I’m viewing Rodgers’ implosion as a fluke against arguably the best front seven in the NFL. The Texans won’t generate nearly as much pressure on Sunday as the Bucs did. While Houston has 16 sacks on the season, the defense is only generating pressure on 20.6% of their opponents’ dropbacks. Rodgers should have plenty of time to throw and should pick apart this Houston secondary.
Take the over in what should be a back-and-forth, high-scoring affair.
Parlay Odds: +265
View the top deposit bonuses and promo codes for each sportsbook >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced sports betting strategy — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.
Matt Barbato is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Matt, check out his archive and follow him on Twitter @RealMattBarbato.