NFL Picks Against the Spread and Over/Under: Week 15 (2020)

by Zach Brunner |
Dec 19, 2020

I wouldn’t say Thursday’s game was an exciting one, but it was at least a competitive game that went into overtime. If that’s a sign of what is to come for the rest of Week 15, it should be an interesting week of football, to put it lightly. There are plenty of COVID and injury updates that will be important to watch, heading into the weekend. So, expect a lot of late-week line movement and early Sunday sharp action. Let's take a look at where the odds are currently and make some picks.

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Detroit Lions at Tennessee Titans (-10.5)

The Lions will again be without Kenny Golladay, and now Matthew Stafford is dealing with a rib injury and could be out. Detroit is giving up the fourth-most rushing yards per game (132.8), and it’s in the realm of possibility that the Titans have a 20-point lead with Derrick Henry having 150 rushing yards by halftime. This game doesn’t appear to be particularly close. Given the health at quarterback for the Lions and the strength of the Titans rushing attack, they should be able to take a big lead and maintain it, especially at home.

Pick: Titans -10.5

Cleveland Browns (-6.5) at New York Giants

The Giant’s defense is underrated this season, but their star cornerback James Bradberry will be out this game. So, while they are a top-10 defense against the run in yards per attempt (3.9), the pass defense will be below average in this game. Baker Mayfield is playing the best football of his NFL career, with 677 yards, six touchdowns and one interception over the past two games. On the other side, Daniel Jones is clearly affected by his hamstring injury, and being sacked six time last week didn’t help. The Browns pass rush should be able to get after him in this game, and he is not healthy enough to evade the pressure. Taking away that part of his game, Jones isn’t good enough to cover this spread.

Pick: Browns -6.5

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at New Orleans Saints

Patrick Mahomes is coming off one of the worst games we have seen from him in some time. He threw three interceptions and took a 30-yard sack. Look for him and the offense to come out fast and aggressive. Meanwhile, Drew Brees is coming back from injury. There may be some rust to shake off early but, most of all, he has not looked that good this season. He also could be without Michael Thomas, who seemingly doesn’t want to play with Brees at this point. This is a statement game for the Chiefs in what could be a Super Bowl preview. They have had a lack of focus this season, but look for them to play a full four quarters, finally.

Pick: Chiefs -2.5

Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals (Under 49.5)

The total has hit the under in four of Philadelphia’s six road games this season. It has also hit the under in nine of Arizona’s 13 games, including six of their eight games as a favorite. The Philadelphia defense is underrated this season, playing well overall. Offensively, Jalen Hurts has shown zero sign that he is capable of being a solid passer in the NFL. Instead, they will likely try to rely on his legs again, keeping the clock moving and limiting the big chunk plays. This will be a dink-and-dunk game overall, with the Cardinals also refusing to go downfield.

Pick: Under 49.5

Pittsburgh Steelers (-13) at Cincinnati Bengals

The Steelers have lost two games in a row. What better get-right game is there than this? The Bengals have the worst offense in the league. They have scored just three touchdowns in the past three weeks, and the Steelers defense is still elite, despite the injuries stacking up. Cincinnati also allows 6.0 yards per play, which is tied for the third-most in the league. The Steelers should be able to put together a long highlight tape on Monday Night Football.

Pick: Steelers -13

Week 14 Results: 4-1
Season to Date: 33-35-2

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Zach Brunner is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Zach, check out his archive and follow his work at FlurrySports.

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