NFL Playoffs Same Game Parlays: Commanders vs. Buccaneers (Wild Card Sunday)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Washington Commanders, as Jayden Daniels looks to lead his team to a playoff win in his first season as quarterback. Can the Commanders spring the upset, or will the Buccaneers exploit the Commanders' rush defense and move on to the Divisional Round?
Here are the best Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers same-game parlay (SGP) picks for Wild Card Weekend.
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Commanders vs. Buccaneers Best Same Game Parlay
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Leg 1: Bucky Irving 90+ Rushing Yards (-105)
You could create an entire same-game parlay out of just Bucky Irving props. The running back has been phenomenal for the Buccaneers down the stretch, and he gets the best matchup he could have asked for in the first round of the playoffs.
The Commanders allowed 137.5 rushing yards per game this season. That's the third-most in the league. Only one other team in the postseason allowed more than 120 rushing yards per game this year.
Irving has rushed for at least 100 yards in three of his last six games. In the season-finale against the New Orleans Saints, he ran for 89 yards, despite the game script being unfavorable towards him. He's carried the ball at least 15 times in four consecutive games. If he gets to that mark again this week, he'll easily hit this number against a defense giving up 4.8 yards per carry.
Leg 2: Buccaneers -3 (-115)
Because the Commanders finished the year two games better than the Buccaneers, and because the Buccaneers very nearly lost to the Saints in Week 18, the Commanders are a popular upset pick. However, I'm backing the home favorites in this game.
Bucky Irving's rushing ability is going to be a huge problem for the Commanders, who are going to have a very hard time getting off the field. And even if they do stop Irving, I don't see how they also slow down Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans.
The Buccaneers averaged 29.5 points per game this season, and they should come close to that number again against a team that allowed 23 points per game. While the Commanders are nearly equal to the Buccaneers in both points scored and points allowed, I just think there is more of an upside with the Bucs because their main offensive strength is the main defensive weakness for the Commanders.
Leg 3: Jayden Daniels 250+ Passing Yards (+135)
For the final leg of this parlay, I'm backing Jayden Daniels to have a huge game against a pass defense that has struggled for most of the season. The Buccaneers allowed 243.9 passing yards per game during the regular season, and they made Spencer Rattler look like a great quarterback for 30 minutes in Week 18.
Daniels has only topped 250 yards once in his last five games, but he's hit that number five times this year. And considering I expect the Buccaneers to come away with this win, Daniels should be playing from behind. He's shown this season that he has no trouble picking apart weak secondaries. He'll get to do just that on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +550
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