NFL Playoffs TD Scorers Picks: Commanders vs. Lions (Divisional Saturday)
We have an exciting matchup on Saturday night between the Washington Commanders and the Detroit Lions. Millions of dollars will get bet on this game. However, which touchdown prop bets should you bet? Let's take a look.
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NFL Divisional Round TD Scorers Prop Bets: Commanders vs. Lions
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook
Washington Commanders First TD Scorer: Jayden Daniels (+440)
Daniels broke Robert Griffin III's rookie rushing record with 891 yards this season. The superstar rookie quarterback finished 33rd in the NFL and second among quarterbacks in rushing attempts with 148, totaling only two fewer than Jalen Hurts (150). More importantly, he had the third-most rushing touchdowns among quarterbacks, totaling six. While the former LSU star hasn't had a rushing touchdown since Week 13, that will change Saturday night against the Lions.
Meanwhile, Daniels finished second on the team in rushing touchdowns. While the rookie superstar quarterback had the first Commanders touchdown in only one game this year, don't be shocked if he has his second on Saturday night. Detroit surrendered six rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks during the regular season, the third-most in the NFL. Furthermore, they gave up two rushing touchdowns apiece to Josh Allen and Brock Purdy over their past four outings.
Detroit Lions First TD Scorer: David Montgomery (+340)
After missing the final three games of the regular season with a knee injury, Montgomery is off the injury report and ready for Saturday night's matchup against the Commanders. The star running back was a scoring machine for the second connective year, totaling 12 rushing touchdowns in 14 games. He finished ninth in the NFL in rushing scores despite missing three contests, totaling more touchdowns than Breece Hall and Alvin Kamara combined.
The veteran is the Lions' to-go guy early in games. Montgomery had the first Detroit touchdown in seven games, accounting for the first score in half of his contests. Meanwhile, Mike Evans had the first Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown against Washington in the playoff game last week. However, the first touchdown scored against the Commanders was by a running back in nearly half of their games, including the final four contests of the regular season.
Anytime TD Scorer: Jahmyr Gibbs (-230)
While David Montgomery will return to the lineup after missing the final three games of the regular season, there is no reason to think Gibbs won't find the end zone against Washington. The second-year pro had 16 rushing touchdowns during the regular season, the most in the NFL. Furthermore, his 20 offensive scores were the most in the league. Gibbs had six touchdowns in the three games without Montgomery. However, he was productive all year.
Despite sharing the backfield with one of the more underrated running backs in the NFL, Gibbs found the end zone in 71.4% of the games he played with Montgomery. Furthermore, the former Alabama star had more games with at least two touchdowns (five) than contests without finding the end zone (four). Meanwhile, the Commanders gave up 16 rushing touchdowns to running backs during the regular season, the fifth-most in the league.
Anytime TD Scorer: Sam LaPorta (+140)
Last year, LaPorta was one of the league's best-scoring players. He had 10 receiving scores, ranking fourth in the NFL and first among tight ends, averaging a touchdown once per 8.6 receptions. By comparison, the former Iowa star had seven receiving scores this season, ranking 21st in the league and fourth among tight ends, averaging a touchdown once per 8.6 catches. LaPorta finished second on the team in receiving touchdowns behind Amon-Ra St. Brown (12).
More importantly, the second-year tight end finished the regular season playing well, finding the end zone in two of the final three contests. Meanwhile, the Commanders' defense vastly improved this year from last season. However, they struggled to keep tight ends out of the end zone. Washington surrendered eight receiving touchdowns to tight ends during the regular season, the fifth-most in the NFL, including two over their final four contests.
Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.