Navigate

NFL Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Week 17 (2024)

by |

NFL Week 17 is here, and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. The Sunday Week 17 slate is a smaller one than usual because of the Christmas Day, Thursday Night Football and Saturday games. Still, a marquee divisional matchup between the Vikings and Packers headlines the action.

Picking matchups against the spread (ATS) and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a same-game parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the NFL Week 17 Sunday afternoon slate.

Keep in mind the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kick-off. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets. Without further ado, let's dive into the best NFL Week 17 same-game parlays.

Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>

Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 17)

(Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise)

Boost your NFL betting strategy with Our Same Game Parlay (SGP) Tool. Get expert correlations, projections and bet ratings for Week 17.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles 

When these division rivals met earlier this season, it was a 34-6 beatdown by Philadelphia on the road. This rematch should be closer as Dallas is playing much better than it was a month or two ago. However, Philadelphia still has a shot at the NFC's top seed and is capable of beating any opponent by double-digit points. We'll stay away from the spread and target the total instead. 

First, the Eagles' quarterback situation is one to monitor. Jalen Hurts got knocked out of last week's game early with a concussion and it appears he'll be out. Kenny Pickett will likely be under center, though he's dealing with a rib injury. If he's somehow out or gets re-injured, it'll be Tanner McKee at quarterback. Either way, expect a conservative game plan from the Philly offense as they gear up for the playoffs. 

On the other side, Philadelphia’s defense is still an elite unit and should hold Dallas in check. The Eagles are allowing a league-low 281.7 total yards per game and will be looking to bounce back after collapsing late versus Washington last week. The Cowboys have been better offensively in recent weeks but they've also benefited from facing weak defenses (Giants, Panthers, Buccaneers, Bengals). The attack will also now be without top playmaker CeeDee Lamb, who's being shut down for the season. 

This total has dropped significantly over the week because of the Hurts news. Even so, grab the under at the best number you can get. The Philly defense should set the tone for a low-total matchup, especially in a late-season rivalry showdown. Plus, the Eagles are 5-1 to the under at home this year and 5-2 to the under over the past seven games. 

The conservative offense for Philadelphia with Hurts out should mean plenty of work for Saquon Barkley in a run-heavy game plan. The Cowboys' defense is allowing 4.8 yards per carry (30th in the NFL) and 135.9 rush yards per game (27th). Barkley only had 66 yards vs. Dallas earlier in the season but it was a blowout win where he only had 14 carries. The underlying storyline is that Barkley needs 268 yards to break Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record. He can do it with a pair of favorable matchups against the Cowboys and Giants in the last two weeks. 

With Lamb sidelined, Brandin Cooks slides into a bigger role in the Dallas passing game. Cooks hasn't done much when healthy this season but Lamb's absence opens up a ton of targets. The veteran wideout has three receptions in three of the last four games since returning from injury. He can keep it going with another outing of three or more catches with Lamb out. 

Parlay Odds: +420

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills

At the beginning of the season, a matchup between the Jets and Bills in Week 17 would presumably have divisional implications. Well, Buffalo has had the AFC East locked up for weeks while New York continues to limp to the finish line. In theory, the Bills should win this game easily but the spread is a bit too big to trust them to cover. 

Instead, let's target the total and count on a lower-scoring game overall. The Buffalo offense is always dangerous but it could be in cruise control in the second half of this one. We saw the attack start slow and do just enough last week in the win over New England. This week could be more of the same - especially after the Chiefs locked up the No. 1 seed - as Buffalo gears up for the playoffs.

Meanwhile, the Jets scored just nine points last week as they reverted to a sub-par offense. Aaron Rodgers and company have been playing better recently but the effort and performances are still too inconsistent to trust. The Bills defense has been shaky of late with a slew of injuries. The unit is getting healthier, though, headlined by All-Pro linebacker Matt Milano's expected return. 

Finally, the weather could be a factor here. In Buffalo, the current forecast calls for a 75% chance of rain with 15-20 mile-per-hour (MPH) winds. This one might be sloppy with the defenses stepping up to control the flow of a low-scoring divisional matchup. Furthermore, Josh Allen is dealing with an injury to his throwing hand. Expect a run-focused game plan from Buffalo offensively. 

James Cook's props are intriguing, but Ray Davis could see extended run if the Bills choose to rest their starting back. Davis has gotten minimal touches this year as the backup, but the game flow and situation should result in more carries. He's averaging 4.0 yards per carry and has been productive when given the chance. Davis had 97 yards on 20 carries against the Jets earlier this season when Cook was out. 

The Bills are allowing the most receiving yards per game to running backs this season (47.6 per contest). The defense funnels targets and catches to opposing backs. Breece Hall should be a safety option for Rodgers. New York’s lead back had 56 receiving yards on six catches versus Buffalo earlier this season and he's averaging 32.8 receiving yards per game. 

Parlay Odds: +550 (on BetMGM)

Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants

Despite their losing record, the Colts are still alive for an AFC Wild Card spot. The chances are slim, though, as they'll need to win both of their last two games and get help from other teams losing. The Giants, meanwhile, might end up with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. On paper, Indianapolis should win this game as the clear better team but the spread makes it a stay-away game.

Let's look at the total with a sneaky over in play. The Giants have been terrible offensively lately, but Indianapolis’ defense is beatable. The Colts have allowed at least 24 points in six straight games with weaker offenses like the Patriots, Titans and Jets pointing up points. On the other side, we already know how bad New York is on defense. The unit has given up 34 and 35 points to the Falcons and Ravens in the past two weeks and it's allowing 25.8 points per game (PPG) during their current 10-game losing streak. 

In case you missed it, Jonathan Taylor went off last week with 218 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 29 carries. He hasn't been consistently putting up numbers this season but the 100+ yard games are always in his bag. Well, now he faces a Giants defense allowing 142.6 rush yards per game (31st in the NFL) and 4.8 yards per carry. Taylor has run for 100+ yards in half of his games this season while averaging 94.1 per contest. With Anthony Richardson dealing with back and foot injuries, Taylor could see added work. 

On the Giants’ side of things, Malik Nabers continues to be their top playmaker. Nabers has at least 64 receiving yards in five straight games, averaging 72.4 yards per game (YPG) in this stretch. He's also averaging 74.5 YPG overall this season while consistently getting double-digit targets. Unsurprisingly, Nabers has been one of Drew Lock's favorite targets with 69, 79 and 68 yards in Lock's three starts thus far. 

Parlay Odds: +425

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Earlier this month, the Buccaneers squeaked by the Panthers with a 26-23 overtime victory. The over cashed in that matchup as Tampa put up 445 total yards of offense and Carolina had 367 yards. Let's bank on another higher-scoring divisional showdown with a pair of questionable defenses. 

Carolina is allowing 29.9 PPG (32nd in the NFL) and 385.9 total yards per game (31st). In turn, the over is 11-4 in Panthers games this season due to their poor defensive play. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is averaging 28.5 PPG (fifth) and 389.7 total yards per game (third). The offense is playing well right now with Mike Evans and Bucky Irving healthy (more on them later). 

On the other side, the Panthers have been a lot better offensively since Bryce Young returned as the starter. They're averaging 23.2 PPG over the past five games and just put up 36 on the Cardinals last week. They can take advantage of Tampa's second-worst pass defense that continues to allow opponents to hang around. The Bucs are 10-5 to the over this year. 

Bucky Irving is proving time and again he should be the lead back over Rachaad White. The rookie running back is averaging 5.5 yards per carry this season. White's recent fumbling issues should lock Irving into more work moving forward. Irving has at least 68 rush yards in five straight healthy games, averaging 99.6 yards and 16.2 carries per game in this stretch. That includes the previous meeting versus Carolina when he exploded for 152 yards on 25 carries. 

If you aren't aware, Mike Evans needs 182 receiving yards over the final two games of the regular season to crack 1,000 for the 11th straight year. It's a truly remarkable streak that he seems poised to continue. Evans has at least 68 yards in five straight games since returning from injury. He had 118 yards on eight catches vs. Carolina earlier this month and can easily duplicate that performance. 

Let's wrap things up with a Panthers prop. The Bucs are allowing the second-most receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends at 67.8 per contest. It sets up well for Tommy Tremble to clear his low-yardage prop line. Tremble hasn't done much this year but he did have 77 yards on five catches against Tampa in the first meeting. He also just had 32 yards last week as Young is looking his way just enough. 

Parlay Odds: +500

Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints

The Saints are yet again in dire straits offensively with the season winding down. New Orleans is without its starting quarterback, star running back, top two wide receivers and multiple starting offensive linemen. That was all very evident when the Saints got shut out by Green Bay last week. They also haven't cracked 20 points in four straight games. 

Even at home against a shaky Raiders defense, it's hard to imagine New Orleans scoring 21+ points this week. Alvin Kamara is likely out again, leaving the offense without any proven playmakers. The unit is a college All-Star team at this point. Meanwhile, Las Vegas is playing better defensively, allowing 19 points or fewer in three of their last four games. 

On the Vegas side of things, let's go with a pair of player props. Jakobi Meyers only had 41 yards on two catches last week but he gets a favorable matchup this week. The Saints are allowing the fifth-most receiving yards per game to wideouts. Meyers has been one of Aidan O’Connell’s favorite options. In the latter's two previous starts, Meyers had 97 and 67 yards with double-digit targets in both games. 

The Raiders backfield has been a mess all season long. Still, Ameer Abdullah can do just enough against a poor New Orleans defense to help cash this parlay. Abdullah has 50+ total yards in four of his last five games. His role as a pass-catcher has expanded lately with 58 and 47 receiving yards in the past two contests. O'Connell is happy to dump it off to his shifty tailback for easy completions. Abdullah has been a better rushing option than Alexander Mattison at times, too.

Parlay Odds: +400

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Arguably the ugliest matchup on this Sunday slate features a pair of 3-12 AFC South teams. Both squads are just trying to end the season as soon as possible and both are still alive for the top pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. The spread and total are impossible to predict considering how bad these teams have been. Instead, let's target some props for this SGP. 

The Titans are letting Mason Rudolph sling it around. He threw for 252 yards on 34 pass attempts last week and he chucked it 26 times the week before. Rudolph now has at least 33 attempts in all four starts this season while averaging 243.3 yards per game. He's also averaging about 34 attempts and 250 yards in his last nine pro starts. Rudolph now gets a friendly matchup against a Jaguars defense allowing the most passing yards per game (274.9) to opposing quarterbacks. 

Calvin Ridley's receiving production has a higher floor and ceiling with Rudolph under center. He had 78 yards last week and now has 70+ yards in each of Rudolph's last three starts with Tennessee. Ridley is also averaging 74.9 YPG over the past nine games. He had 59 yards vs. Jacksonville earlier this season but it could've been a lot more, considering the 12 targets he saw. The Jags are allowing the third-most receiving yards per game to wideouts this year. 

Rookie Brian Thomas Jr. continues to produce. He has 132 and 105 yards in the past two games with Mac Jones under center and has produced 70+ yards in five straight contests. Thomas is a top target for Jones and the two should link up plenty this week again. Thomas has double-digit targets in four straight. He had 86 yards on eight catches versus Tennessee earlier this month. 

Parlay Odds: +430

Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns 

There could be a bunch of low-scoring NFL games this weekend. This matchup between Miami and Cleveland falls in that category. The Browns offense has scored just 13 combined points over the past two games with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. Meanwhile, Miami’s offense already gets downgraded on the road but even more so in colder weather expected in Cleveland this weekend. 

The Dolphins are 6-1 to the under on the road this season while averaging just 15.3 PPG away from Miami. On the flip side, they're 6-2 to the over at home while averaging 24.8 PPG. Mike McDaniel's attack is simply less explosive and efficient on the road - and that's only magnified when playing in chillier temperatures. Tua Tagovailoa has a 6:4 touchdown-to-interception ratio on the road and a 13:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio at home. 

As for Cleveland, the offense is struggling with Thompson-Robinson under center. Last week, he completed just 59% of his passes for 157 yards and two interceptions despite facing a soft Bengals secondary. Now he'll face a Miami defense allowing the sixth-fewest total yards per game. The Dolphins are a top-10 unit against the run, which will force Thompson-Robinson to make more plays - something he hasn't proven capable of doing. 

On that note, Jerome Ford could have a long day on the ground. He just put up a great statistical performance last week as the starter amid Nick Chubb's season-ending injury with 92 rushing yards on 8.4 yards per carry. However, the rushing will be tough to duplicate against one of the league's better run defenses. Miami hasn't allowed an opposing running back to gain 50 yards or more in eight straight games. The last to do it was James Conner, and he needed 20 carries to barely crack 50 yards. 

The one bright spot offensively in this game could be Dolphins tight end Jonnu Smith. He's been one of Tagovailoa’s favorite targets more often than not. Smith is averaging 65.8 receiving yards per game over the past 11 contests and has 40+ in eight straight. Cleveland is allowing 47.7 yards per game to tight ends, which is about league average, but Smith's consistent track record is hard to ignore at this point. 

Parlay Odds: +415

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

The biggest game on Sunday's slate is this divisional matchup between the Packers and Vikings. Both NFC North squads are fighting for playoff positioning. Minnesota still has a shot at the division title. When these teams first met back in Week 4, the Vikings squeaked out a 31-29 road victory. Green Bay will be looking for revenge this time around. 

The Packers are playing at a higher level than they were during that prior meeting. They've scored 30+ points in five straight games, going 5-0 ATS in this span, too. Green Bay is 9-2 straight up since that loss to Minnesota with the only two losses against Detroit. 

Matt LaFleur will have his team ready to go for this revenge spot. Under LaFleur, the Packers are 27-11 straight up and 25-13 ATS when facing an opponent who beat them in the previous matchup. They're also 23-9 ATS and 18-14 outright as an underdog with LaFleur at the helm. Let's back the Pack with a chance to ruin the No. 1 seed hopes of the Vikings and avenge that September home loss. 

Jordan Love must play a key role in this victory over Minnesota. He's had up-and-down performances lately but has gone five straight games without throwing an interception. Love threw for 389 yards and four scores in the prior matchup vs. the Vikings as the passing attack exploited the secondary. He's averaging 241.2 pass yards per game this season with at least 220 in nine out of 13 games. The Vikings are giving up 268.7 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks (second-most in the NFL) with 260+ allowed to five of the last six quarterbacks they faced. 

On the other side, Aaron Jones will face his old team for the second time. He was excellent in the first meeting with 139 total yards - 46 coming through the air. Jones is a sneaky-good pass-catcher out of the backfield when the matchup allows it. Well, the Packers are giving up 40.7 receiving yards and 5.2 receptions per game to running backs (both sixth-most). Jones has 18+ receiving yards in 10 out of 15 games, averaging 23.2 per contest. The 17.5 line is a low bar for him in this spot. 

Parlay Odds: +400

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App