NFL Same Game Parlay Picks: Chiefs vs. Bills (Week 11)
NFL Week 11 is here, and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. We have some exciting Week 11 games on the Sunday slate, featuring Chiefs vs. Bills and Ravens vs. Steelers. Picking matchups against the spread and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a Same Game Parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the NFL Week 11 Sunday afternoon slate.
Keep in mind the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kickoff. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets. Here are the best NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlays. Below we dive into our favorite NFL Week 11 same game parlay picks for Chiefs vs. Bills .
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Best NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlays: Chiefs vs. Bills
(Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Chiefs vs. Bills
- Leg 1: Chiefs +8.5 Alt Spread (-321)
- Leg 2: Josh Allen 25+ Rushing Yards (-255)
- Leg 3: Josh Allen Over 7.5 Rushing Attempts (-110)
- Leg 4: Travis Kelce 70+ Receiving Yards (-105)
Welcome to the marquee matchup of the weekend (apologies to Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh). This AFC clash between the Chiefs and Bills has produced numerous classics ever since Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes entered the league. Hopefully, we get another one!
It took a blocked field goal at the end of regulation to get past the Broncos last week, but the Chiefs survived yet again to remain undefeated. Kansas City has now won seven of its nine games by one score but continues to find ways to pull out victories. This is a fade-at-your-own-risk territory, even though a loss seems inevitable soon.
Meanwhile, the Bills are on a five-game winning streak of their own, with three of the last four coming by double digits. Plain and simple, Buffalo is playing at a higher level than KC right now, and those recent comfortable wins are evidence. The Chiefs' presumed regression and Buffalo's advantages at home are tough to argue against. Still, we're rolling with the road dogs to kick off this SGP.
The ATS trends are impossible to ignore, with Kansas City as an underdog. Mahomes is 12-1-1 ATS and 11-3 straight up as an underdog in his career. He continues to come through in this spot. Andy Reid's Chiefs are also 18-5-1 ATS as dogs since 2016.
We could go with the current spread of less than a field goal but snag the alt line of +8.5 just to be safe. Getting that 8-point cushion could be huge. The Chiefs have only one loss of 9+ points in the past three seasons combined.
When Josh Allen faces the Chiefs, he tends to run more. Allen has at least 10 rush attempts in five straight games vs. KC, and he's averaging 10.1 carries for 56.1 yards over the past seven meetings. The Chiefs have a strong run defense, which could shut down James Cook and force Allen to make more plays with his legs on scrambles and/or designed runs. Either way, Allen seems to take it upon himself to run in these showdowns vs. Mahomes.
Travis Kelce is another guy who has regularly shown up in these big games against Buffalo. He's averaging 86 receiving yards per game in the past seven matchups vs. Buffalo, with at least 75 yards in five of the past six. Since Rashee Rice went down, Kelce has been a focal point in the Chiefs passing attack - even with DeAndre Hopkins in town. He's averaging 71.7 yards and 8.7 receptions per game in the six games with Rice out, including 70+ in four of those.
Parlay Odds: +445