NFL Same Game Parlay Picks: Ravens vs. Steelers (Week 11)
NFL Week 11 is here, and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. We have some exciting Week 11 games on the Sunday slate, featuring Chiefs vs. Bills and Ravens vs. Steelers. Picking matchups against the spread and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a Same Game Parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the NFL Week 11 Sunday afternoon slate.
Keep in mind the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kickoff. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets. Here are the best NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlays. Below we dive into our favorite NFL Week 11 same game parlay picks for Ravens vs. Steelers.
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Best NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlays: Ravens vs. Steelers
(Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Ravens vs. Steelers
- Leg 1: Steelers +3.5 (-118)
- Leg 2: Lamar Jackson Over 0.5 Interceptions (-105)
- Leg 3: Russell Wilson 225+ Passing Yards (-130)
Both Pittsburgh and Baltimore are coming off narrow one-point victories last week ahead of this rivalry matchup. The Ravens survived last Thursday night's thriller over Cincinnati while the Steelers eked out a road win at Washington. Both games were in the balance in the final minutes and it sets up this pivotal NFC North clash.
There's no denying how good the Ravens have been offensively. Lamar Jackson is the MVP favorite, while the offense leads the league in total yards and points per game. However, the Achilles heel for Baltimore is its worrisome pass defense. The secondary is allowing league-highs in passing yards per game (294.9) and passing touchdowns (22). The struggles against the pass have allowed good teams to hang around all year, and it almost cost them last week.
Russell Wilson and the Pittsburgh offense can exploit those issues. Wilson has been impressive in his three starts so far and he's still among the best downfield throwers in the league. The Steelers are averaging 30.3 PPG with Wilson at quarterback and have the upside to go toe-to-toe with Baltimore's high-powered offense.
Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh defense is stout against the run, allowing 87.1 rush yards per game (4th in NFL). If the unit can quiet Derrick Henry enough, it'll force Jackson to be at his best passing-wise. Of course, Jackson's legs are a major factor. However, Pittsburgh has defended him well throughout his career.
Besides all of the X's and O's, check out all of these ATS trends backing Pittsburgh. Over the last 20 years, the underdog in this series has covered 74% of the spreads and is 22-4-3 ATS when the line is three points or more (76%). The underdog is also 15-2-1 ATS since 2015 in these games.
Mike Tomlin is 12-2-2 ATS as an underdog against John Harbaugh in their careers. The Steelers are already 3-0 SU as a dog this season and could win this one outright too. Tomlin is also 19-6-3 ATS as a home underdog over the years. Lamar Jackson, on the other hand, only covers at a 34% rate as a favorite between three and 10 points. It's a lot of data, but it all points to Pitt here.
We alluded to it above, but Lamar Jackson has struggled against Pittsburgh. He has a 4:7 TD:INT ratio in his career vs. the Steelers, with a pick thrown in each game. The Ravens also haven't beaten their division rivals with Jackson at quarterback since 2019 - a three-point overtime win. They are the bogeyman for Jackson, and Tomlin will have his team ready to frustrate Jackson enough to force mistakes.
As noted above, Wilson and the Steelers passing attack can have success against Baltimore's questionable secondary. The Ravens are giving up 314.4 pass yards per game to opposing QBs this year and just got torched for 428 by Joe Burrow last week. They've allowed at least 223 yards to all but one QB too. Wilson has thrown for 264, 278, and 195 yards in his three games so far.
Parlay Odds: +415