NFL Saturday Same Game Parlays Odds, Picks & Predictions (Week 18)
The final week of the NFL’s regular season will start with a doubleheader tonight. A pair of AFC matchups will jumpstart Week 18, and both games have playoff implications. First, the Steelers will play the No. 1 seed Ravens in a game that means nothing to the hosts. Second, the Texans and Colts are battling for a chance to win the AFC South if the Jaguars slip up on Sunday. Both games have eye-catching player props to choose from for same-game parlays (SGP).
Saturday NFL Doubleheader Best Same Game Parlay Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens SGP
- Leg 1: Najee Harris Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- Leg 2: Jaylen Warren 40+ Rushing Yards (-160)
- Leg 3: Chris Boswell Over 1.5 Field Goal Made (+110)
- Leg 4: Tyler Huntley 150+ Passing Yards (-185)
The Steelers are 3.0-point favorites and should be able to play offense as they wish, pounding the rock. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Steelers have had an NFL-high 64% situation-neutral rush rate since Week 16. They shouldn’t have to deviate from a ground-and-pound approach, which is excellent for Najee Harris’s and Jaylen Warren’s rushing potential.
Since former offensive coordinator Matt Canada was fired after Pittsburgh’s loss in Week 11, Harris and Warren have split backfield rush attempts 101 versus 60. Harris ran for 424 yards at 4.2 yards per carry, and Warren ran for 258 at 4.3.
In six games without Canada, the Steelers have won three times. Harris had over 62.5 rushing yards in all three victories, averaging 99.7 with a median of 78. Warren had 40-plus rushing yards in two of the three victories, averaging 49.3, with a median of 49. The odds for Harris and Warren to eclipse their rushing yardage props are good if the Steelers win.
The matchup is good, too. According to The 33rd Team, running backs have averaged 100 rushing yards per game and 5.3 yards per carry against the Ravens in their previous four games. Thus, FantasyPros projects Harris to have 66.3 rushing yards and Warren to have 43.2 against the Ravens.
Wins have been optimal for Chris Boswell making field goals. He’s banged through over 1.5 field goals in eight of Pittsburgh’s nine wins this season. Boswell will likely make over 1.5 field goals if the Steelers win.
A good game script for Pittsburgh’s rushing potential and Boswell’s outlook for field goals is also ideal for Tyler Huntley’s passing output. Huntley has started eight games in his career and reached at least 150 passing yards three times. He exited one of the games he fell short early with an injury.
Fortunately, he has a favorable matchup against the Steelers. Pittsburgh has allowed 270 passing yards per game to quarterbacks in their previous four games. Thus, Huntley is projected to pass for 188.5 yards tonight.
Parlay Odds: +550
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
- Leg 1: C.J. Stroud Over 257.5 Passing Yards (-130)
- Leg 2: Nico Collins Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
- Leg 3: Nico Collins Over 5.5 Receptions (-115)
- Leg 4: Devin Singletary Over 12.5 Points (-120)
C.J. Stroud has had a remarkable rookie season, averaging 274.6 passing yards per game, with a median of 277. He’s had over 257.5 passing yards eight times in 14 games, including lighting up the Colts for 384 passing yards. The rookie has eclipsed 257.5 passing yards in five of his past seven starts. Stroud is projected to pass for 267.6 yards tonight.
Nico Collins should be on the receiving end of many of Stroud’s pass attempts. In a breakout campaign, the third-year pro averages 5.1 receptions per game and 78.7 receiving yards per game. The big-bodied wideout has had over 73.5 receiving yards seven times and cleared 5.5 receptions seven times in 14 games this season. Collins bested both thresholds against the Colts in Week 2, corralling seven receptions for 146 receiving yards. He’s projected to have 5.7 receptions and 80.1 receiving yards tonight.
Devin Singletary can get in on the receiving fun, too. Motor has taken over Houston’s backfield, owning most of the rushing work and contributing as a pass-catcher. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Singletary has run 65 routes since Week 14 versus 49 for Dare Ogunbowale, 16 for Andrew Beck and 15 for Dameon Pierce. Singletary has turned his route participation in those contests into 10 receptions and 74 receiving yards (18.5 per game).
He’s had over 12.5 receiving yards in two of his past three games. Furthermore, running backs have gotten the best of the Colts through the air. Since Week 14, running backs have averaged 70.5 receiving yards per game against the Colts. In addition, 18 running backs have had over 12.5 receiving yards against Indianapolis this season, and Derrick Henry, Tyjae Spears and Travis Etienne had over 12.5 against them twice. Finally, Singletary is projected to have 18.5 receiving yards tonight.
Parlay Odds: +450
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.