NFL Saturday Same Game Parlays: Texans vs. Chiefs (Week 16)
The NFL regular season’s only Saturday contests are this weekend, with all participants slated to turn around and play on Christmas. Everyone playing on Saturday is a playoff squad. The games could be tightly contested, with teams valuing possessions and a lack of fireworks. As a result, many of the legs of the following two same-game parlays (SGPs) are unders. Still, a few overs were also appealing.
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Saturday’s Best Same Game Parlay Bets: Texans vs. Chiefs
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Texans vs. Chiefs
- Leg 1: C.J. Stroud Under 231.5 Passing Yards (-115)
- Leg 2: Joe Mixon Under 60.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
- Leg 3: Nico Collins 40+ Receiving Yards (-1200)
- Leg 4: Xavier Worthy Over 1.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Houston’s offense is a train wreck. While it might seem overly pessimistic to have C.J. Stroud’s and Joe Mixon’s unders for passing and rushing yards, they’re reasonable selections.
The Texans are road underdogs against a stout run defense, which is bad news for Mixon’s rushing outlook. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Chiefs are tied for the third-highest situation-neutral pass rate (63%) faced since Week 12. Additionally, per Pro-Football-Reference, Kansas City has allowed the fewest rushing yards per game (63.2) to running backs this season.
Mixon isn’t in good form, either. He’s had 23, 101, 22, 109 and 46 rushing yards in the previous five weeks. Both 100+ yard rushing efforts were in victories, and two of three contests under 50 were in losses.
Stroud will be forced to chuck it if the Texans are playing catch up, but his career splits are damning. In 14 career games on the road, Stroud averages 217.1 passing yards per game. In nine career games outdoors, he averages 202.2 passing yards per game. There’s some overlap between those splits. Stroud has also wilted in losses. In 11 career losses, Stroud averages 216.5 passing yards per game.
Nico Collins can reach the low threshold of 40 receiving yards, even if Stroud has another dud. Despite Stroud’s sophomore slump, Collins is averaging 94.3 receiving yards per game. He’s had at least 40 receiving yards in eight out of nine games this season.
Patrick Mahomes hurt his ankle last week. Andy Reid might opt to get creative to ease his quarterback’s burden. One possibility is feeding speedy rookie wideout Xavier Worthy some rushing opportunities. However, even if Reid has a typical play-calling game, he regularly involves the speedster as a runner. Worthy has had at least one rushing attempt in 10 out of 14 games this season, surpassing 1.5 rushing yards nine times.
Parlay Odds: +625
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.