NFL Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Cowboys vs. Buccaneers (Week 16)
The Buccaneers are in the driver’s seat for a playoff berth, and the Cowboys are in the role of spoilers. The favored guests from Florida have a path of least resistance on the ground, and two of their running backs have eye-catching player props.
On the other side, a negative game script would be bad news for their running back’s rushing outlook but good news for their No. 1 wideout’s receiving outlook. The following four-leg parlay using three rushing and one receiving prop has tasty +480 odds.
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Sunday Night Football Best Same Game Parlay Bets: Cowboys vs. Buccaneers
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
- Leg 1: Bucky Irving Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-130)
- Leg 2: Rachaad White Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Leg 3: Rico Dowdle Under 72.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
- Leg 4: CeeDee Lamb 50+ Receiving Yards (-370)
The Buccaneers are 3.5-point favorites. Thus, Liam Coen should have a neutral or positive game script for feeding his talented one-two backfield punch of Bucky Irving and Rachaad White in a Charmin-soft matchup.
According to RotoViz’s pace app, Tampa Bay has had a 48% situation-neutral rush rate in four games since their Week 11 bye. On 133 plays leading by at least three points, excluding the final two minutes of the first half, they had a 55% rush rate during that period. Meanwhile, Dallas’ run defense has come up small.
According to SumerSports, the Cowboys have allowed the most expected points added (EPA) per rush this year. Per Pro-Football-Reference, the Cowboys have surrendered 95.1 rushing yards per game to running backs this season. In addition, according to the data suite at Fantasy Points, the Cowboys have ceded 98.8 rushing yards per game at 4.88 yards per carry in their previous four games.
There should be enough meat on the bone for Irving and White to feast. The former has surpassed 62.5 rushing yards in four of his previous five games; the latter has eclipsed 46.5 rushing yards in three straight contests.
A positive game script for Tampa Bay’s rushing outlook would be negative for Rico Dowdle’s. Since Week 12, Dowdle has erupted for 86, 112, 131 and 149 rushing yards. He’s running into a run defense this week that’s stiffened up lately. Since Week 12, the Buccaneers have allowed only 69.3 rushing yards per game at a clip of 3.6 yards per carry. The sledding will be challenging for Dowdle on Sunday Night Football, and a likely negative game script won’t do him favors. As a result, 72.5 rushing yards is probably a hill too high to climb.
CeeDee Lamb should be busy, though. In six games with Cooper Rush as Dallas’ starting quarterback, Lamb has had a 25.3% air yards share, 26.8% target share, 0.29 targets per route run, 35.1% first-read percentage, 41 receptions (6.8 per game), 429 receiving yards (71.5 per game) and 2.19 yards per route run. Lamb had at least 50 receiving yards in four of those six games. FantasyPros projects him for 74.4 receiving yards against the Buccaneers.
Parlay Odds: +480
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.