NFL Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Rams vs. Eagles (Week 12)
Last week’s Sunday Night Football game was a fun AFC shootout. This week’s could provide similar fireworks between two star-studded NFC squads.
The visitors are without one of their top pass-catching weapons, leaving more opportunities for their other top options. The following four-leg same-game parlay (SGP) leans into the enhanced expectations for Philadelphia’s pass-catchers without DeVonta Smith.
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Sunday Night Football’s Best Same Game Parlay Bets: Rams vs. Eagles
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams
- Leg 1: Jalen Hurts 200+ Passing Yards (-195)
- Leg 2: A.J. Brown 80+ Receiving Yards (-195)
- Leg 3: Dallas Goedert 50+ Receiving Yards (+100)
- Leg 4: Saquon Barkley Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Jalen Hurts is having an outstanding season in his first year in Kellen Moore’s offense. While fantasy gamers have loved the continued success of the Tush Push/Brotherly Shove, Hurts has also thrived as a passer.
The dual-threat quarterback has completed 69.2% of his pass attempts for 219.7 passing yards per game this year. Hurts has reached at least 200 passing yards in seven of his 10 outings.
However, he failed to reach that threshold only once in seven games when A.J. Brown was healthy. In seven games with Brown this year, Hurts has averaged 220.7 passing yards per game, with a median of 230. FantasyPros projects Hurts for 219.8 passing yards against the Rams, even without DeVonta Smith.
According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, among 94 wide receivers with at least 150 routes this year, Brown is third in air yards share (48.7%), fourth in target share (28.6%), tied for 10th in targets per route run (0.27), fifth in first-read percentage (35.8%), fourth in receiving yards per game (88.3) and second in yards per route run (3.51).
Brown is a beast, and the Rams are ill-equipped to slow him down. Per Pro-Football-Reference, Los Angeles has coughed up the 14th-most receiving yards per game (148.4) to wide receivers this year. FantasyPros projects Brown for 85.4 receiving yards in Week 12.
Dallas Goedert and Saquon Barkley should benefit from Smith’s absence this week. In three games without Brown this year, Goedert popped up for 38, 170 and 62 receiving yards. He averaged 56.7 receiving yards per game with a median of 62 without one of Philadelphia’s top-two wideouts.
While Brown is a superior receiver to Smith, Goedert should still soak up vacated targets. Smith leaves behind a 23.2% target share and 32.8% air yards share. Goedert can take advantage of Smith’s absence in a cushy matchup against a defense allowing the fifth-most receiving yards per game (62.3) to tight ends this season.
Barkley also picked up the slack without Brown earlier this year. In Week 2 through Week 4, he had an average depth of target (aDOT) of 3.0 yards, a 12.2% target share, 0.18 targets per route run, 3.3 receptions per game and 20.7 receiving yards per game.
In those games, Barkley had 21, nine and 32 receiving yards. Barkley should clear the low bar of 13.5 receiving yards against a defense coughing up 34.4 receiving yards per game to running backs this year.
Parlay Odds: +525
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.