NFL Sunday Night Football Touchdown Scorer Odds & Picks: Chiefs vs. Jets (Week 4)
Sunday night we have a matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the New York Jets. Millions of dollars will get bet on this game. However, which touchdown prop bets should you bet? Let's take a look.
All props are from DraftKings.
Sunday Night Football Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets
Kansas City Chiefs First TD Scorer: Travis Kelce (TE) +260
After missing Week 1, Kelce has scored a touchdown in the two games he has played. The superstar tight end is no stranger to the end zone, scoring 12 times last season. More importantly, he leads the team with two receiving touchdowns this year. Furthermore, Kelce has scored at least one touchdown in every career matchup against the Jets.
Meanwhile, New York has given up three touchdowns to tight ends over the past two weeks, the most in the NFL. Those tight ends were Jake Ferguson, Luke Schoonmaker, and Pharaoh Brown, with two of them being the first touchdown in the game for their team. Kelce is more likely to find the end zone twice in this game (+425) than not at all.
New York Jets First TD Scorer: Garrett Wilson (WR) +425
I am tempted to bet on the Jets not to score a touchdown in this game (+475). The Chiefs were a late garbage time score from DJ Moore away from going back-to-back weeks without giving up a touchdown. Therefore, no one should be surprised if New York must settle for field goals all night. However, Wilson is the offense for the Jets this season.
The second-year receiver has both of the team’s receiving touchdowns and 67% of the offensive scores over the first three weeks, including the first New York touchdowns in Week 1 and Week 2. Meanwhile, the first touchdowns surrendered by the Chiefs have gone to a wide receiver in every game this season. If the Jets find the end zone, expect it to be thanks to Wilson.
Anytime TD Scorer: Rashee Rice (WR - KC) +370
Patrick Mahomes can make anyone outside of Kadarius Toney look good on offense. While Travis Kelce and Jerick McKinnon lead the team with two receiving touchdowns apiece, Rice has quietly been the best Kansas City wide receiver this season. He is second on the team in receptions (10) and targets (14), leading all wide receivers in both categories. More importantly, the rookie caught the first touchdown of the year in Week 1 with Kelce out of the lineup.
Meanwhile, the Jets have played excellent defense, giving up only four touchdowns this season. However, all four have been passing touchdowns. New York has struggled against the tight end position, giving up three touchdowns to them this year. The fourth came in Week 1 to Stefon Diggs. While Diggs is a superstar and Rice is a rookie, bettors should like his touchdown odds at +375. The rookie receiver nearly found the end zone last week, falling short of the goal line twice.
Anytime TD Scorer: New York Jets Defense/Special Teams +800
Frankly, I don't see how the Jets score two touchdowns in this game. They are averaging 14 points per game, scoring under 23 in every contest, including only 10 points in back-to-back weeks. More importantly, New York only has three offensive touchdowns for the year, scoring once every game. Therefore, the only way the Jets find the end zone twice in this game is with a big play from their defense or special teams.
New York has won one game this season, coming in Week 1 over the Buffalo Bills. Rookie wide receiver Xavier Gipson had a 65-yard punt return in overtime for the win. Meanwhile, defenses rarely make game-changing plays when facing the Chiefs offense. However, Brian Branch did have a 50-yard pick-six on Patrick Mahomes in Week 1. If the Jets are going to win this game, they need their defense to make a momentum-changing play.
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.