NFL Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Jets vs. Patriots
Week 11 of the NFL season is here, and it kicks off with the New England Patriots hosting the New York Jets. Heading into this game, the Patriots are 8-2, while the Jets are just 2-7. Heading into this game, the Jets, who started the season 0-7, have won back-to-back games, beating the Cincinnati Bengals in a 39-38 shootout and the Cleveland Browns after two special teams touchdowns, 27-20.
As for the Patriots, they’re tied for the league’s best record after taking down the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the road, 28-23.
Below is a three-leg NFL Thursday Night Football same game parlay (SGP) for this matchup, including a spread pick and two props. Let’s check it out.
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NFL Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Jets vs. Patriots
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook | All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated
- Leg 1: Patriots -12.5 (-115)
- Leg 2: Mason Taylor 25+ Receiving Yards (-178)
- Leg 3: Drake Maye Under 242.4 Passing Yards (-113)
Leg #1: Patriots -12.5 (-115)
This is one of those games where I can understand it being difficult to score the amount of points on a short week against a divisional opponent, but I’m unsure how the Jets even score in this game. The Patriots are allowing the fewest rushing yards per game (79.2).
As for the Jets’ passing game, Fields has thrown for 54 yards or fewer in three of his last four games. Against the Browns, he threw for 54 yards, but get this - he had a 42-yard touchdown pass to running back Breece Hall. Heading into the fourth quarter, and before that play, Fields, an NFL starting quarterback, had just 12 passing yards.
Sure, he only attempted 11 passes, but good grief.
Also, not only have the Jets traded away cornerback Sauce Gardner and defensive tackle Quinnen Williams, but they’re also likely to be without both wide receiver Garrett Wilson and EDGE rusher Will McDonald IV.
The Jets can’t pass, and they won’t be able to run on the Patriots. There’s a reality where the Patriots cover the spread, winning 13-0.
Leg #2: Mason Taylor 25+ Receiving Yards (-178)
We’re setting the bar really low here, but given the state of the Jets’ passing game, you have to.
Over the course of this season, Mason Taylor is second on the Jets in target share (18.6%). As mentioned, Garrett Wilson, who leads the team with a 25% target share, is likely to miss this game.
On the road, as a near two-touchdown underdog, you have to imagine the Jets will have to throw. While it might not be with much success, 25 yards should be a fairly safe benchmark for one of the team’s most often targeted pass-catching options.
Leg #3: Drake Maye Under 242.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Thus far this season, only one quarterback has thrown for 239+ yards against the Jets, and that was Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers in Week 1 (244 yards).
Without Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams, and possibly Will McDonald IV, pressure and elite coverage may not exactly be what slows Drake Maye down here. I just don’t think he’ll need to throw much at all. The offense will rely mostly on TreVeyon Henderson, especially after his fantastic week. Unless the Jets can make this competitive heading into the second half, we may not see Maye throw much at all.
Parlay Odds: +525