NFL Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Raiders vs. Broncos
Week 10 of the NFL season is here, and it kicks off with the Denver Broncos hosting the Las Vegas Raiders. Heading into this game, the Broncos are 7-2, while the Raiders are just 2-6. The Broncos have won six straight games and are coming off an 18-15 road win over the Houston Texans. Conversely, the Raiders haven’t won just one game since Week 1, beating the Tennessee Titans 20-10 on Oct. 12.
Additionally, this game comes just two days after the Raiders dealt No. 1 WR Jakobi Meyers to the Jacksonville Jaguars. With him gone, the starting three wide receivers are now projected to be Jack Bech, Tre Tucker and Tyler Lockett, with, of course, tight end Brock Bowers being the focal point.
Below is a three-leg NFL Thursday Night Football same game parlay (SGP) for this matchup, including a spread pick and two props. Let’s check it out.
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NFL Thursday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Raiders vs. Broncos
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook | All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated
- Leg 1: Broncos -9.5 (-110)
- Leg 2: J.K. Dobbins Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-125)
- Leg 3: Brock Bowers 60+ Receiving Yards (-141)
Leg #1: Broncos -9.5 (-110)
The Raiders head to Denver without Jakobi Meyers to take on a Broncos team that’s won six straight games and allows just 18.4 points (fourth-fewest), 93.1 rushing yards (eighth-fewest) and 186.8 passing yards (sixth-fewest) per game.
Not only that, but Raiders quarterback Geno Smith, who’s thrown for 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions this year, lost his No. 1 wide receiver in Meyers. This offense will zero in on Bowers and running back Ashton Jeanty, while mixing in some of their younger receivers.
The Broncos’ offense scored just 18 points last week, but that was against an even stiffer defense than theirs in the Houston Texans. In the two weeks before that, they scored 33 against the New York Giants and 44 against the Dallas Cowboys.
Overall, the Raiders’ defense is middle of the pack in terms of points, rushing yards and passing yards allowed per game, but I’m worried their offense won’t have much juice on the road without Meyers, and Smith is an interception waiting to happen.
Leg #2: J.K. Dobbins Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-125)
While the Raiders are allowing just 86.5 rushing yards per game to running backs, they’re also giving up 1.12 rushing touchdowns per game. A big part of that is that opponents can build leads and run the ball with some success. That’ll be the case here, too.
J.K. Dobbins has seen nearly 72% of the Broncos’ running back carries this season and has run 135 times for 695 yards (5.1 yards per carry) and four touchdowns.
Dobbins hasn’t scored since October 5th against the Philadelphia Eagles, but given the Raiders’ defense against running backs and the Broncos being nearly double-digit favorites, Dobbins should be able to find the end zone.
Leg #3: Brock Bowers 60+ Receiving Yards (-141)
Brock Bowers heads into Week 10 just one week after catching 12 of 13 targets for 127 yards and three touchdowns against the Jaguars. He now faces a Broncos team that’s been good against tight ends, allowing just 4.11 receptions per game for 53.56 yards and 0.33 touchdowns, but Bowers is certainly an exception to the rule.
With Jakobi Meyers out of town, Bowers is now the bona fide, no-questions-asked, No. 1 pass-catching option in this offense. In Week 9, with Meyers on the roster, Bowers drew a 34.2% team target share.
Without Meyers on the field, I expect Bowers to be a double-digit target machine every week from here on out. Couple that with the Raiders being 9.5-point underdogs in what will be a pass-heavy game script, and Bowers should easily be able to clear this mark.
Parlay Odds: +395