NFL Week 1 Teaser Bets, Picks & Predictions (2024)
One popular way bettors try to find value on NFL lines is by playing teasers. An NFL teaser is similar to a parlay; you add multiple legs that must all win for the bet to pay out. The key difference from parlays is that a teaser allows you to buy points - like 6.0, 6.5, or 7.0 - in a direction that lowers risk.
Teaser Tips to Follow:
- Never Cross over 0
- Tease through two key numbers, ideally 3 & 7
- Tease games with lower totals, ideally anything 49 or fewer
Below are four teaser options for Week 1, along with my best teaser bet.
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Week 1 Teaser Options
Cincinnati Bengals (-8 to -2) vs. New England Patriots
It’s widely suspected the New England Patriots will finish the 2024 season with the worst record in the league. They finally move on from Bill Belichick and start fresh with Jerod Mayo.
They Drafted Drake Maye as the franchise QB and opted to go with Jacoby Brissett in Week 1. There is not a lot to like with this Patriots team. You can argue that their defense is the lone bright spot, but even that is suspect after trading their best player (Matthew Judon).
As for the Bengals, they are a Super Bowl contender. Joe Burrow enters the 2024 season fully healthy for the first time since his rookie year.
The Bengals also received a boost of confidence from Ja’Marr Chase, who returned to practice. However, it is still unclear whether he will suit up for Week 1. Either way, this Bengals team led by Burrow should and can win this game by a field goal or more.
Buffalo Bills (-6.5 to -0.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
There is a lot of hype surrounding this Cardinals offense with Kyler Murray fully healthy, and deservedly so. But, as fun as this offense will be, it’s their defense that still is one of the worst in the league. In 2023, the Cardinals’ defense allowed 26.8 points per game, second-most in the NFL, trailing only the Washington Commanders. They didn’t do much to improve on the offense, so I would expect a similar output this year.
Just because the Bills traded away Stefon Diggs, I don’t think they will take a step back in 2024. Yes, they are without Diggs, but they still have plenty of playmakers on the offensive side (Khalil Shakir, Curtis Samuel, Dalton Kincaid, Keon Coleman, James Cook).
With a six-point teaser, we just need a Bills win, and that is something Josh Allen should be able to muster up on their home turf.
Seattle Seahawks (-6 to PK) vs. Denver Broncos.
While Bo Nix did look good in preseason, heading into Seattle to face one of the best defensive-minded head coaches in the league will be a tough test for any rookie QB, let alone one making his first career start.
Mike Macdonald hired former Washington Huskies offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb to run the offense in Seattle, so we should see a lot more 11 personnel and a more explosive Seattle offense.
Teasing Seattle down from six, all we need is a win. Again, Seattle should be able to do this at home against a rookie quarterback.
Dallas Cowboys (+2.5 to +8.5) vs. Cleveland Browns
You will have many mixed reactions when you talk to people about this game. This line first opened with Cleveland being a 1.5-point home underdog and is now a 2.5-point favorite.
The Browns’ defense is set up for another dominant year in Jim Schwartz’s system, which should cause problems for Dak Prescott and the offensive line. The Cowboys will be starting two rookies on the line, which is not ideal when facing Myles Garrett and Za’Darius Smith.
The outcome of this game will depend on how Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson plays. If he can play at the level he did last year and with the Browns’ defense playing at a high level, they should win this game outright, but to win by nine or more points may be asking a bit much.
Best Bet: Week 1 Six-Point Teaser
Seahawks PK/Cowboys +8.5 (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook)