NFL Week 11 Anytime TD Scorers: Jaguars vs. Lions (2024)
I got back on track last week. Sort of. I went 6-5 on Anytime Touchdown (ATD) bets. However, most of that profit went out the window when only one of my First Touchdown (FTD) bets came in. Still, it was nice to get back in the black. This week I am back with picks for all 11 of the games on the Week 11 Sunday slate, excluding Sunday Night Football. Here are our top NFL Week 11 Anytime TD scorers. Below we dive into my top NFL Anytime TD scorer picks for Jaguars vs. Lions.
As a reminder, I am tracking these using bet sizes of 0.4 units on anytime touchdown bets and 0.1 units on first touchdown bets. Whether you play one or all of them, use your discretion and adjust as you see fit.
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Best NFL Week 11 Anytime TD Scorers: Jaguars vs. Lions
All wagers are 0.5 units
NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets
Who will score a touchdown in this week's NFL Games? The Anytime Touchdown market covers any player who carries or receives the ball into the end zone, not the quarterback who passes the ball. We compare anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify today's best bets. View Anytime Touchdown odds across sportsbooks here.
Jaguars vs. Lions
- Anytime TD Odds: +220 at Bet365
- First TD Odds: +1200 at Bet365
With an implied total of just over 30 points this week, there is no shortage of anytime-touchdown options and first-touchdown candidates for the Detroit Lions. Detroit is a two-touchdown favorite in Week 11 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. That is the largest point spread of the 2024 NFL season.
If you want a chalkier pick, you can go with running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. I certainly would not fault anyone who wanted to bet on any of those players. However, I lean towards Jameson Williams in this matchup.
Jacksonville ranks dead last in the NFL in both expected points added (EPA) and DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) defensively against the pass. That may signal a move toward Detroit's top wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown. But interestingly enough, the Jaguars rank third in the league in DVOA against No. 1 WRs. They also play man coverage at a high rate, and slot cornerback Jarrian Jones is the team's best cornerback. Both of those tendencies could work against St. Brown.
The Lions will be missing tight end Sam LaPorta in this game. That should open up more opportunities for Williams to operate. Look for Detroit to get Williams matched up against Ronald Darby. Darby has a reputation as a gambler and has given up four touchdowns this year. I love the value we are getting on Williams from both an anytime touchdown and first touchdown standpoint this week.