NFL Week 11 First & Anytime TD Picks: Commanders vs. Dolphins
The NFL's International Series continues this week with the Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins facing off in Madrid, Spain. Points have been hard to come by for both, but they are still averaging three touchdowns per game (22.3 and 21 ppg). Miami has allowed 25.6 points per game, and Washington has allowed 28 points per game, so chances are good we'll see some scoring in this game.
With that in mind, here are our favorite anytime touchdown and first touchdown picks for the game.
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Commanders vs. Dolphins Week 11 NFL TD Scorer Picks
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
De'Von Achane: First Touchdown (+370) | Anytime Touchdown (-175)
De’Von Achane is the best player the Dolphins have, capable of striking first via the run or the pass. Against a Washington defense that ranks second-to-last in pass defense and allows 134+ yards rushing per game, he's a solid candidate to score first. He has scored in five of the last seven games for the Dolphins and had two against the Bills last week, making him a solid pick to score at any time.
Achane has scored nine of Miami's 22 touchdowns this season.
Jaylen Waddle: First Touchdown (+600) | Anytime Touchdown (+100)
Since Tyreek Hill is out, Jaylen Waddle is Miami's best threat in the passing game. Tua Tagovailoa has been targeting him more consistently the last three weeks (six, nine, seven targets), and he's responded with five, six and five catches and touchdowns in two of his last three (both wins).
With his importance in the passing game and Washington's struggles against the pass (second to last in yards per game allowed; 22 receiving touchdowns allowed), Waddle is a solid candidate to score at any time and to potentially score the first touchdown.
Marcus Mariota Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +270
Marcus Mariota only has one touchdown on the year, but it is not uncommon for quarterbacks like him to take charge and try to make a play for the team. Since the Dolphins do not have a strong run defense (allowing 139.7 yards per game) and have given up 10 rushing touchdowns, it is not hard to see Mariota scoring in this game.
Deebo Samuel Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +180
Deebo Samuel has scored five touchdowns this season, four receiving and one rushing touchdown. But he has scored just once in his last four games (last week versus the Lions). Since he poses a threat as both a receiver and a runner, I like his chances of scoring for the Commanders in this game.
Zach Ertz Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +185
Since the Chicago game, Zach Ertz has become a more consistent part of the game plan, getting four to seven targets a game and making three to six receptions. He last scored against Dallas, but since the Dolphins allow more receiving touchdowns than rushing (17 to 10), he is a solid candidate to score in this game.