NFL Week 11 Parlay: Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
There are some interesting lines heading into Week 11. In one instance, I believe the wrong team is favored, but it gives us a chance to take advantage of the underdog. There’s another well-performing team that Vegas is not giving any credit to, but the smaller spread definitely works.
(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook)
Leg 1: Bears +3 (-110)
Who is better at quarterback right now than Justin Fields? The Bears have centralized the game plan around his strengths, and he has 385 rushing yards with three touchdowns and six passing touchdowns in his last three games. This has not resulted in wins, but they’ve lost by one possession in the previous games, and with the Bears collecting draft picks, they are planning for the future.
What is the future for the Falcons? It’s looking more like Marcus Mariota is not the guy to lead this franchise, and his play at quarterback has hindered the offensive attack.
The Falcons haven’t covered in four straight games and seven of their last ten. These teams are very close in rankings, but the Bears look better overall.
Leg 2: Chiefs/Chargers under 50 (-110)
The Chiefs have moved up to a touchdown favorite in this game at SoFi.
The injuries have seriously impacted the Chargers, with several key players on both sides of the ball sidelined. This team needs to stay afloat until they get these players back in hopes of being ready for a playoff run.
Kansas is now the top team in the AFC, with Buffalo taking a couple of losses, but betting on them has not been successful. They’re just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games and have played their competition close.
I love the total more in this game than the spread. The under his hit in three of the last four for Kansas City and the same goes for the Chargers. This will be a much lower-scoring game than their earlier matchup.
Leg 3: Giants -3 (-118)
The Giants continue to be one of the more surprising teams in the league as they come into this week 7-2. Brian Daboll learned to use Daniel Jones’ strengths, and the fantastic play of Saquon Barkley has the offense playing efficiently.
The Lions were able to sneak out a win against the Bears with a touchdown in the final three minutes. They were torched on the ground for 258 yards, including 147 by Fields. They’ll see another mobile quarterback, Daniel Jones, who is averaging 5.6 yards per carry and is the league’s current leading rusher. The G-Men have been successful at home, going 4-1 ATS at MetLife, and should confidently take care of the Lions.
Total Parlay: +573
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top-rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced sports betting strategies — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.