NFL Week 11 Teasers: Picks & Predictions (2025)
One popular way bettors try to find value on NFL lines is by playing teasers. An NFL teaser is similar to a parlay; you add multiple legs that must all win for the bet to pay out. The key difference from parlays is that a teaser allows you to buy points - like 6.0, 6.5, or 7.0 - in a direction that lowers risk.
Teaser Tips to Follow:
- Never cross over 0
- Tease through two key numbers, ideally 3 & 7
- Tease games with lower totals, ideally anything 49 or fewer
Below are three NFL Week 11 teasers, along with my best teaser bet.
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NFL Week 11 Teaser Picks
(Odds via Caesars Sportsbook)
Atlanta Falcons (-3.5 to +2.5) vs. Carolina Panthers
Yes, we're technically teasing through 0 - generally something we avoid - but the handicap here supports Atlanta winning this game outright with margin.
This is a must-win spot for the Falcons, with their season effectively on the line. The motivation edge is massive:
- Revenge angle after getting blown out by 30 by Carolina earlier this season.
- They've played two of the hottest teams in the league in back-to-back weeks and nearly won both games.
- Realistically, Atlanta is a handful of plays away from being 6-3 and leading the NFC South.
This is the ultimate bounce-back spot for a team that's been competitive against elite opponents but hasn't gotten the results.
Buffalo Bills (-6 to PK) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bills have been taking some major heat after getting embarrassed by the Miami Dolphins last week.
You know Josh Allen and Co. are ready to come out firing on all cylinders this week to make up for that pitiful Week 10 performance.
Meanwhile, Tampa Bay's early-season success was always primed for regression:
- The Bucs won their first four games via late-game heroics.
- The offense has since cooled off dramatically.
- Injuries are piling up, and they no longer look capable of trading punches with top-tier offenses.
Buffalo has all the motivation, all the health advantages and all the firepower in a get-right spot. Teasing them to win the game outright feels safe.
Green Bay Packers (-7 to -1) vs. New York Giants
From a motivation standpoint, the Packers should have the edge after losing two straight games at home and falling to third place in the NFC North.
This offense looks like a totally different unit from what we saw at the beginning of 2025.
As for the Giants? It hasn’t been good:
- They blew yet another late lead last week.
- Head coach Brian Daboll was fired.
- Jaxson Dart is in concussion protocol, putting the offense in further disarray.
This is a team spiraling downward versus a Packers squad hungry to snap a skid and stay in the division race. Asking Green Bay to just win by one? Strong value.
Best Bet: Week 11 6-Point Teaser
Bills PK/Falcons +2.5 (-125 at Caesars Sportsbook)