NFL Week 15 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)

by Trent Conner |
Dec 16, 2022

Someone must score the first TD of the game, and this article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.

Special Offer: Get 1 FREE year of BettingPros Premium access >>

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears

Miles Sanders

Odds: +600 via FanDuel Sportsbook

The Bears are the 27th-ranked run defense in the league, so it comes down to Miles Sanders or Jalen Hurts. Either guy could run it in, but Sanders probably has the best chance. The regular season is nearing an end, and the Eagles have their eyes set on the playoffs. It would not be a surprise if they leaned on Sanders a little more down the stretch to keep Hurts from being hurt. The Bears have allowed the most rushing TDs (21) this season, so take a shot on Sanders.

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave

Odds: +900 via BetMGM

The Falcons are starting Desmond Ridder, so the offense will look different than it has all season, so the Saints offer a little more value. The Falcons could start slowly with a rookie quarterback going against a decent defense. Also, the Falconsâ€™ defense allows 251.1 passing yards per game and is mediocre. Olave has led the Saints in targets in the previous three games but falls below Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill in odds. Olave was held in check in their week one meeting, but it was also his first career game. He should perform better this time around.

Dallas Cowboys @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Dalton Schultz

Odds: +1200 via BetMGM

The Jaguars typically get beat through the air, and the stats reflect that. They allow 253.3 passing yards per game, which is bottom-five in the league, and allowed 21 passing TDs this season. Schultz provides superb value based on the number of targets he receives from Dak Prescott. Schultz led the Cowboys with 10 targets last week and has averaged 6.6 targets per game since the Cowboysâ€™ bye week (week nine). There are three Cowboys listed above Schultz, but none provide the same value.

Detroit Lions @ New York Jets

Jamaal Williams

Odds: +700 via BetMGM

The Lions have won five of their last six games and have put up 29.3 points per game during that span. Although the Jetsâ€™ defense is ranked second in total yards allowed, they rank eleventh in rushing yards allowed. Jamaal Williams is leading the league in rushing TDs, and there is no sign of Detroit moving away from him. He has not received fewer than 10 rush attempts all season and is almost a lock to score inside the red zone. It will be a tougher matchup this week, but Williams is still a good bet at this number.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Carolina Panthers

DJ Moore

Odds: +850 via Caesars Sportsbook

DJ Moore did not catch a pass last week but had two rush attempts. He had an MRI on his ankle and received positive news, which allowed him to suit up for practice. The Steelers have allowed 24 passing TDs this season and 242.7 passing yards per game. DJ Moore had a great week in Sam Darnoldâ€™s first game before not catching a pass the following week. The Panthers still scored 30 points despite Moore not being involved, so the offense is moving in the right direction.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans

Isiah Pacheco

Odds: Not Listed Yet

Dameon Pierce is listed as doubtful this week and is the likely culprit for the odds not being released yet. It is unclear which other player would delay the odds unless the Texans are still contemplating which quarterback to start. Unfortunately, it probably does not matter which one starts. The Texans are dead last in run defense, so fading them is a good option. Pacheco will likely be at the top of the odds list but check here for the best number upon release.

Arizona Cardinals @ Denver Broncos

James Conner

Odds: +430 via Caesars Sportsbook

The Cardinals lost Kyler Murray for the season last week, and Colt McCoy replaced him. McCoy has been limited in practice this week but will probably suit up and start for the Cardinals. The Broncosâ€™ defense is good, but they allow 117.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks seventeenth in the league. The Cardinals are not the most impressive offense in the league, but the Broncos are putrid and likely will not score first. The first TD could come later in this game, but Conner is the best option, given the matchup. Caesars Sportsbook typically has the lowest odds for this market, so check the odds here before placing a bet to ensure you get the best number.

New England Patriots @ Las Vegas Raiders

Nelson Agholor

Odds: Not Listed Yet

The Patriots are dealing with multiple injuries on the offensive side of the ball. DeVante Parker suffered a concussion on Monday night and has not returned to practice. Rhamondre Stevenson hurt his ankle and has not returned to the practice field. Jakobi Meyers missed the game last week due to a concussion and did not participate in Thursdayâ€™s practice despite being limited on Wednesday. Still, the Patriots have a good matchup against the 29th-ranked pass defense in the league. The Raiders allow 254.5 passing yards per game and 21 passing TDs this season. Agholor led the Patriots with 10 targets last week and is facing his former team this week. Be sure to check the odds here to find the best number for Agholor because the odds are not out yet due to injuries on both sides of the ball.

Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers

Derrick Henry

Odds: +360 via Caesars Sportsbook

The Chargers are ranked 28th in run defense this season and allow 5.4 yards per rush attempt. Henry is almost always the favorite in this market for a good reason. Henry ranks second in rushing yards and third in rushing TDs this season, which is typical for him. He has been one of the best running backs in the league for some time and has a great matchup this week. The number at Caesars Sportsbook is probably lower than other books, but it is the only sportsbook to release the odds for this market. Be sure to check out the odds at other sportsbooks here before placing a bet.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Joe Burrow

Odds: +1900 via Caesars Sportsbook

The Buccaneers have 38 sacks this season, and Burrow has gotten sacked 35 times this season. The Buccaneersâ€™ defense will likely put pressure on Burrow all day, which increases the likelihood of him running the football. He has scored on the ground five times this season and can pick up a first down with his legs. He must be near the goal line to run for a TD, but he is facing a tough defense that will force the Bengals to work for their points. Burrow is a long shot, but worth it in a game with several playmakers on either side of the football. As mentioned, Caesars Sportsbook is typically not the best place to bet on this market, so check out the other odds here before placing a wager.

Whether youâ€™re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our How To Section â€” including How to Avoid the 7 Biggest Sports Betting Mistakes â€” or head to a more advanced strategy â€” like Thinking Like an Expert Sports Bettor â€” to learn more.

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

Navigate