NFL Week 17 Anytime TD Scorer & Win Parlays (2025)
Last week was the third straight winning week for my anytime TD scorer & win parlays. I am 7-2 in that stretch and hoping to keep the momentum going in Week 17. This week is an interesting one from a Moneyline perspective. Six teams are favored by at least six points. Five of those favorites are playing on the road. Could some of those home underdogs bite us?
The most obvious favorite on the board is the New England Patriots, who are playing the New York Jets. But there is a fly in the ointment regarding their anytime touchdown Scorer bets. I will dive into that and more when highlighting my picks for this week. Here are my three favorite Week 17 anytime TD scorer & win parlays.
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NFL Week 17 Anytime TD Scorer & Win Parlays
(All bets are for one unit, unless otherwise stated)
Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals
For my first Week 17 anytime TD scorer & win parlay, I am taking the lone home team favored by at least six points. Of course, playing at home is not a reason enough to back the Cincinnati Bengals against the Arizona Cardinals. But the Bengals have played well for the most part since the return of Joe Burrow. Cincinnati is 2-2 and has scored at least 32 points in three of those four games. The Cardinals have lost seven straight games, and their defense has been routinely torched in the process. Arizona is allowing an average of 34.7 points per game in that stretch. Cincinnati has the highest implied total on this week's slate, and its offense should face little resistance here. I expect them to score a lot of points and win this game outright.
Despite Arizona's defensive deficiencies, they have been decent against opposing wide receivers. The Cardinals have only allowed 11 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season. That is tied for the eighth-lowest mark in the NFL. Of course, Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins are not your average wide receivers. But I still lean towards running back Chase Brown in this spot despite him having the shortest odds. Brown has scored five times in four games since Burrow's return to the lineup. Arizona has allowed 19 touchdowns to opposing running backs this season. That is the fourth-highest number in the league. And they would be tied with Buffalo and Cincinnati for second-most with 20 scores allowed if Woody Marks had been credited with a rushing touchdown instead of a fumble recovery a couple of weeks back. They have given up 35 red-zone touchdowns this year, also fourth-most in the league.
The Cardinals have been particularly generous to running backs during their seven-game losing streak. Arizona has allowed 11 touchdowns to opposing backs in those seven games. Again, this does not include Marks’ touchdown. Three of the 11 touchdowns they have allowed have come via the pass. Brown is one of the best receiving backs in the league. Three of his five touchdowns over the past four games have come as a receiver. The Cardinals have also allowed one rushing touchdown to a quarterback during their streak. I am not too worried about Burrow vulturing a rushing touchdown from Brown. I am picking Cincinnati to win and Brown to score in Sunday's matchup.
Bet: Chase Brown Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Cincinnati Bengals to Win (-102 at Caesars Sportsbook)
New England Patriots at New York Jets
The New York Jets are hot garbage. I am allowed to say that because I am a Jets fan. Please don't ask me how much I paid to sit in the fourth row behind their bench in New Orleans last week. Luckily, the trip was quite enjoyable outside of that day. In any event, I can't imagine any realistic scenarios that result in them beating New England on Sunday. The Patriots cannot afford a letdown here with the potential for a division title and/or the AFC's No. 1 seed on the line. I expect New England to win this game quite easily. The problem is projecting which Patriot to score.
The Jets have allowed an NFL-high 23 touchdowns to opposing running backs this year. The problem is that Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson is in the league's concussion protocol. Sportsbooks know this, of course, and they are not giving us any chance to read the tea leaves. As of late Thursday night, I have not seen any anytime touchdown odds for either Henderson or Rhamondre Stevenson. I do not even see any yardage props listed for either player. The good news is that New York is not only bad against the run. They are arguably even worse against the pass. Their current defensive DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) versus the pass would be the worst mark in a season since the 2019 Miami Dolphins. I expect New England to exploit this edge, especially if Henderson doesn’t play.
Only two Patriots pass-catchers have more than three touchdowns this year. One is Kayshon Boutte, who is also in the league's concussion protocol. The other is tight end Hunter Henry. Henry has earned 10 targets inside the opponents' 10-yard line this season. Trey McBride is the only tight end in the league who has earned more targets in this split. The Jets rank 28th in the league in DVOA versus opposing tight ends this year. They have allowed seven receiving touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season. Even if Henderson plays, there is some value here. And if he does not, this price is likely to drop. I am going to grab it now at what I consider a very nice price. Fanatics Sportsbook currently has the best price, but DraftKings Sportsbook’s number is similar for those who do not have access to Fanatics Sportsbook.
Bet: Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer/New England Patriots to Win (+200 at Fanatics Sportsbook; +198 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons
My final Week 17 anytime TD scorer & win parlay is in the final game of the slate. The Los Angeles Rams travel to face the Atlanta Falcons on Monday night. Atlanta has won two straight games and would love to continue playing the role of spoiler. The Rams lost a heartbreaker in overtime in Seattle last week. But they have not lost two consecutive games since September 29th-October 6th of last season. I do not expect that to change after this week. Look for Los Angeles to keep their chances for a division title and the NFC's No. 1 seed alive.
The Rams have five different players who have scored at least six touchdowns this season. That distribution could provide some tempting opportunities to bet on longer shots like Blake Corum or Colby Parkinson. However, Corum is still the 1B to Kyren Williams' 1A. And we are no longer getting the value on a Corum touchdown that we did a few weeks ago when I mentioned him at +355 odds. The best price we have this week is +188 at BetRivers/Bally's. As for Parkinson, he draws a tough matchup. Atlanta has allowed just two touchdowns all season long to opposing tight ends. That is the lowest number in the NFL. Davante Adams leads the league with 14 touchdown catches. But he is unlikely to play after re-aggravating a hamstring injury two weeks ago. Because of these factors, I am narrowing down my options to Williams and Puka Nacua.
A Williams anytime touchdownscorer/Rams Moneyline parlay has hit seven times overall this season. That is a slightly higher hit rate than one involving Nacua. A parlay featuring a Nacua touchdown and Rams win has hit five times. Williams also carries a slightly friendlier price this week. However, I am going with Nacua as my Rams anytime touchdown scorer. Nacua has been on a historic run in recent weeks. His 573 yards over his last three games are the fifth-most across a three-game span in NFL history. The Falcons have given up 18 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. That is the fourth-highest mark in the league. Their cornerback group has been downright awful this year. Regardless of who lines up against Nacua, the star wide receiver will have the decided edge.
There have been 117 cornerbacks who have played at least 20% of snaps, per Pro Football Focus (PFF). None of Atlanta's top four corners ranks in the top 70 among that group in PFF's coverage grade. A.J. Terrell has a reputation as the team's best cover corner. But he has the lowest coverage grade among the four Falcons cornerbacks. When Atlanta plays zone coverage, Nacua has earned PFF's top receiving grade versus zone coverage, and his four touchdowns are tied for sixth-most in the NFL. Even with added attention drawn to him without Adams and facing a tough Seattle defense, Nacua scored two touchdowns for the second time in three games last week. I envision a similar result in this matchup, except that Nacua's dominance will help lead to a Rams victory.
Bet: Puka Nacua Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Los Angeles Rams to Win (+105 at Fanatics Sportsbook;+104 at FanDuel Sportsbook)