NFL Week 17 Same Game Parlays: Dolphins vs. Browns (2024)
NFL Week 17 is here, and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. The Sunday Week 17 slate is a smaller one than usual because of the Christmas Day, Thursday Night Football and Saturday games. Still, a marquee divisional matchup between the Vikings and Packers headlines the action.
Picking matchups against the spread (ATS) and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a same-game parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the NFL Week 17 Sunday afternoon slate.
Keep in mind the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kick-off. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets. Here are the best NFL Week 17 same game parlays. Below we dive into our favorite NFL Week 17 same game parlay picks for Dolphins vs. Browns .
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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets: Dolphins vs. Browns
(Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise)
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Dolphins vs. Browns
- Leg 1: Under 39.5 Points (-105)
- Leg 2: Jerome Ford Under 51.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Leg 3: Jonnu Smith 40+ Receiving Yards (-195)
There could be a bunch of low-scoring NFL games this weekend. This matchup between Miami and Cleveland falls in that category. The Browns offense has scored just 13 combined points over the past two games with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. Meanwhile, Miami’s offense already gets downgraded on the road but even more so in colder weather expected in Cleveland this weekend.
The Dolphins are 6-1 to the under on the road this season while averaging just 15.3 PPG away from Miami. On the flip side, they're 6-2 to the over at home while averaging 24.8 PPG. Mike McDaniel's attack is simply less explosive and efficient on the road - and that's only magnified when playing in chillier temperatures. Tua Tagovailoa has a 6:4 touchdown-to-interception ratio on the road and a 13:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio at home.
As for Cleveland, the offense is struggling with Thompson-Robinson under center. Last week, he completed just 59% of his passes for 157 yards and two interceptions despite facing a soft Bengals secondary. Now he'll face a Miami defense allowing the sixth-fewest total yards per game. The Dolphins are a top-10 unit against the run, which will force Thompson-Robinson to make more plays - something he hasn't proven capable of doing.
On that note, Jerome Ford could have a long day on the ground. He just put up a great statistical performance last week as the starter amid Nick Chubb's season-ending injury with 92 rushing yards on 8.4 yards per carry. However, the rushing will be tough to duplicate against one of the league's better run defenses. Miami hasn't allowed an opposing running back to gain 50 yards or more in eight straight games. The last to do it was James Conner, and he needed 20 carries to barely crack 50 yards.
The one bright spot offensively in this game could be Dolphins tight end Jonnu Smith. He's been one of Tagovailoa’s favorite targets more often than not. Smith is averaging 65.8 receiving yards per game over the past 11 contests and has 40+ in eight straight. Cleveland is allowing 47.7 yards per game to tight ends, which is about league average, but Smith's consistent track record is hard to ignore at this point.
Parlay Odds: +415