NFL Week 3 Anytime TD Scorer & Win Parlays (2025)
Last week was a solid one for my anytime touchdown scorer and Moneyline bets. I once again hit all three Moneyline sides, bringing me to 6-0 on the season on that side of things. I also hit two out of my three anytime touchdown bets. That brings me to an even 3-3 through two weeks. More importantly, I am in the black.
Let's build on that in Week 3 with this week's NFL picks. As you know by now, picking a player to score in conjunction with his team winning the game can drastically increase our return on an outcome that can correlate with the original bet. Here are three of my favorite anytime TD scorer & win parlays for Week 3.
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NFL Week 3 Anytime TD Scorer & Win Parlays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
New York Jets at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It brings me no personal pleasure to offer up this first same-game-parlay (SGP) for Week 3. Not only am I a Jets fan, but I am flying all the way down to Florida to witness this game in person. It was a good idea at the time. In any event, I have a hard time believing the Jets are going to win this game with their backup quarterback. Sure, Tyrod Taylor is a solid veteran, but this feels like a game that Tampa Bay should win handily as long as they do not suffer a letdown after Monday night's last-second victory. The touchdown scorer side is a little more difficult for me to pin down. I am going with Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans.
New York is 28th in defensive DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) versus the pass through two weeks. However, cornerback Sauce Gardner ranks first among 95 qualified cornerbacks in Pro Football Focus' (PFF) grading system. The Jets used Gardner in shadow coverage on Steelers wide receiver DK Metcalf in Week 1. Aaron Rodgers threw for four scores in that game, but Metcalf caught none. If Gardner shadows Evans, then perhaps another player may be a better pick. But given the emergence of rookie wideout Emeka Egbuka, I think the Jets will play it straight with Gardner.
In this scenario, Gardner would line up mainly on the left side defensively. Evans has only lined up on the right side on offense 24.4% of the time, per FTN. I expect Evans to get plenty of favorable matchups against Brandon Stephens and Michael Carter II. Stephens and Carter rank 78th and 79th, respectively, in PFF's grading system. They also lack the size to deal with Evans and his big frame. Perhaps the Jets play sides between the 20s and use Gardner to shadow Evans in the red zone. But I still like the odds of Evans scoring his first touchdown of the season this Sunday.
Bet: Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Win (+170)
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks
Though there are no guarantees, I am surprised to see this particular bet at plus-money. The New Orleans Saints travel to the Northwest to face the Seattle Seahawks. New Orleans quarterback Spencer Rattler has played nine NFL games in his young career. The Saints are 0-9 in those games. He is not solely to blame, of course. But New Orleans is hardly an upper-echelon team. Meanwhile, Seattle just went into Pittsburgh and defeated the Steelers by two touchdowns. The Seahawks also have one of the best home-field advantages in the league. I am very confident in picking Seattle to win this game.
Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker III has logged at least 13 carries in a game 26 times in his NFL career. He has scored at least one touchdown in 17 of those 26 games. I mention this because Zach Charbonnet has yet to practice this week. Charbonnet may be unable to go on Sunday. If he misses this game, Walker could easily approach 20 carries, especially when you factor in the likely game script. Even if he falls short of that mark, Walker is a solid bet to score a touchdown in this game.
New Orleans has already allowed opposing running backs to account for 250 total yards and two touchdowns. Those numbers actually represent a slight improvement on a per-game basis against last season's numbers. However, this is not a particularly effective defense when it comes to stopping opposing running backs. Look for Walker to score in a Seahawks victory in Week 3.
Bet: Kenneth Walker Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Seattle Seahawks to Win (+112)
Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens
I am closing out Week 3 with the marquee matchup on the slate. The Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens will battle on Monday night in Charm City. This game's 53.5-point total is the highest of any game so far this season. Because of that, we should see plenty of scoring opportunities. And since neither team is a prohibitive favorite, this payout would be higher than the other two bets I have listed above. Let's dig into the matchup.
Both the Lions and Ravens have looked better on offense than defense through two weeks. Detroit is seventh in offensive DVOA and 13th on the defensive end. Meanwhile, Baltimore is second offensively and 14th defensively. Though the Lions went undefeated on the road last season, I view them as a different entity away from Ford Field. That has been evident in the first two games of 2025.
Detroit put up just 13 points in a 27-13 Week 1 loss in Green Bay before trouncing Chicago 52-21 at home last week. The Ravens have scored at least 40 points in both of their games to start this season. They have also scored at least 28 points in eight of their last nine home games. I give them the slight advantage to walk away with the victory on Monday night.
Opposing quarterbacks have posted a 106.8 quarterback rating and have averaged 7.7 yards per attempt against Detroit through two weeks. Both numbers put the Lions in the bottom 10 among NFL defenses. They have been solid against both running backs and tight ends in the passing game. Those two positions have combined for just 71 receiving yards against Detroit thus far.
On the other hand, wide receivers have totaled 351 yards versus the Lions’ pass defense. Four different Ravens wideouts have already caught at least one touchdown pass this year. However, three of those players (DeAndre Hopkins, Devontez Walker and Tylan Wallace) have combined for only eight total targets through two weeks. Compare that against Zay Flowers, who has earned 20 targets on just 48 Lamar Jackson passes, suitable for a massive 41.7% target share. Given these numbers, I have to go with Flowers here.
Bet: Zay Flowers Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Baltimore Ravens to Win (+196)