NFL Week 3 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Moneyline Underdog Bets (2022)
In Week 2, the underdogs went 5-11, bringing their cumulative record for the season to 11-20-1. The Dolphins, Jaguars, Cardinals, Jets and Cowboys won outright. Listed below are the moneyline odds for Week 3 and three underdogs that may be worth a longshot bet.
Moneyline underdogs for Week three with odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:
- Denver Broncos (vs. San Francisco 49ers) -102
- Atlanta Falcons (@ Seattle Seahawks) +108
- Tennessee Titans (vs. Las Vegas Raiders) +114
- Green Bay Packers (@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers) +116
- Dallas Cowboys (@ New York Giants) +120
- Houston Texans (@ Chicago Bears) +122
- Carolina Panthers (vs. New Orleans Saints) +132
- New England Patriots (vs. Baltimore Ravens) +138
- Arizona Cardinals (vs. Los Angeles Rams) +156
- New York Jets (vs. Cincinnati Bengals) +180
- Pittsburgh Steelers (@ Cleveland Browns) +184
- Miami Dolphins (vs. Buffalo Bills) +188
- Detroit Lions (@ Minnesota Vikings) +194
- Washington Commanders (vs. Philadelphia Eagles) +220
- Indianapolis Colts (vs. Kansas City Chiefs) +235
- Jacksonville Jaguars (@ Los Angeles Chargers) +265
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Small Long Shot (odds up to +150)
The Houston Texans vs. the Chicago Bears Week 3 matchup will likely have a more significant impact on the 2023 draft order than it will on the 2023 playoffs. Both of these teams could be picking with top-five draft picks in April. Although the Texans are not off to a great start this season with one loss and one tie, they have led in the fourth quarter of both games so far this year. The Bears may have the better record going into Week 3 with a win and a loss, but their Week 1 win was during a monsoon against the 49ers. The impact the weather may have had on that result makes it difficult to evaluate how well earned the Bears’ victory might have been.
In Week 2, Houston’s defense was disruptive in the backfield. They compiled three sacks, seven quarterback hits, five tackles for a loss and six deflected passes. If they can keep that momentum up and make Justin Fields uncomfortable, this should be a low-scoring game giving the Texans a good chance of grinding out a win.
Pick: Houston Texans (+122)
Medium Long Shot (odds between +151 to +200)
In Week 3, the Detroit Lions take on the Minnesota Vikings. Coming off their feature on HBO’s “Hardknocks,†the Detroit Lions were the subject of some preseason hype, but their performance in the first two weeks of the season should be creating buzz for them now. The Lions were competitive Week 1 against an impressive-looking Philadelphia Eagles team and took home the win in Week 2 against the Washington Commanders.
After a good win against the Green Bay Packers in Week 1, the Vikings looked flat in their loss to the Eagles in Week 2.
Lions head coach Dan Campbell looks like an excellent leader for the squad. You cannot discount good leadership’s impact on a team’s performance. In Week 2, the Lions had to call up practice squad journeyman Dan Skipper to start on the interior of their offensive line in his first-ever NFL game. After the game, per the Detroit Free Press, Campbell singled out Skipper, causing the locker room to erupt in chanting his name before sending him up to the podium as the first player to speak to the media post-win.
On the field, their young players are also having an impact. Aiden Hutchinson broke out against the Commanders in Week 2 with three sacks. Amon-Ra St. Brown only trails Tyreek Hill and Stefon Diggs in all-purpose yardage for wide receivers this year.
Using their results against Philadelphia as a measuring stick for these two teams, getting +194 for the Lions appears to be good value.
Pick: Detroit Lions (+194)
Large Long Shot (odds of +201 and up)
This week, the large long-shot pick comes from the Jacksonville Jaguars and Los Angeles Chargers matchup. The Jaguars are coming into week three on the heels of a victory over the Indianapolis Colts. We still don’t know just how good the Colts will be this year, but anytime you can shut out a divisional opponent, you must be playing some good football. Evidence of this is Trevor Lawrence and offseason free agent signing Christian Kirk connecting for 195 yards and two touchdowns in the first two games of the season.
Things don’t look as bright for the Chargers, with Justin Herbert suffering a fracture to his rib cartilage in Week 2. Even for one of the league’s best quarterbacks, it is difficult to play through that sort of pain.
Every Sunday night, Matt Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) starts a Twitter thread monitoring injuries for the next week’s games. The Jacksonville vs. LA matchup reads: “Jacksonville: Nothing, LA Chargers: QB Justin Herbert (ribs), C Corey Linsley (knee), WR Keenan Allen (hamstring) and TE Donald Parham (hamstring).â€
With this injury report, at +265, the Jacksonville Jaguars could provide some betting value for a second straight week.
Pick: The Jacksonville Jaguars (+265)
The Long Shot Parlay for Week 3:
Parlay: +2282 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
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