NFL Week 4 Parlay: Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
As we head into Week 4, we have just two remaining undefeated teams. I feel strongly about the outcome of both of their games this week, and that one will remain undefeated while the other takes its first loss. Let’s look at those games in early odds for Week 4.
We’ll also play the long game this week as we go with the Thursday and Monday night games.
(Odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top-rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Leg #1. Rams +2.5| -115
The Rams look like they’ve rehydrated and gotten over their championship hangover as they’ve rattled off two straight wins.
The run game was showcased for the first time this season as they rushed for 100 yards on 20 carries and two touchdowns against the Cardinals, while Matthew Stafford and the passing game took a back seat. They’ll need this as they face the talented 49ers’ run defense, allowing just 78.7 rushing yards per game, which is fourth-best.
The 49ers were highly one-dimensional on offense last week against Denver as Jimmy G struggled and forgot how many yards the end zone was. The heaviest run team in the league could not get it moving on the ground against Denver’s fifth-best run defense, and now they have to see the Rams, who are ninth.
In the NFC Championship last year, the Rams’ defense was fully committed to stopping the run and letting Jimmy G try to beat them with his arm, which was a failure. That will be the same plan this week as the Rams will come away with a Monday night win in the Bay Area.
Leg #2. Bengals -3 | -106
Last week the Dolphins were very fortunate to come away with that win and remain undefeated. The Bills out-played and out-gained them, and the Dolphins saw a Buffalo team with injuries on the offensive line and secondary.
The Bengals’ win was against an awful Jets defense, but they went with a formula that worked well last year. Instead of trying to establish the run early, Joe Burrow went straight to the air and exploited that secondary, and it felt like the 2021 offense.
The Miami pass rush has been good to start the year, which could give Burrow problems. Yet, he was excellent when blitzed last season, throwing for 12 touchdowns and 11.5 yards per attempt. The Dolphins’ passing defense has been dreadful, allowing 718 passing yards and five touchdowns in the previous two games.
Leg #3. Eagles -6.5 | -110
We could hit the overreaction button and push all in for the Jaguars to cover after they beat the snot out of the Chargers. However, we have to look back and see they went against an injured Justin Herbert. DE Joey Bosa and LT Rashawn Taylor also left with injuries during the game, and they already had injured starters out from the start.
The Jaguars are a much better team with Doug Pederson as head coach. I’m laying those points against a good number of teams, just not the Eagles.
Philadelphia is looking like the best team in the league right now. Jalen Hurts answered doubters so far and has been able to move the ball with his feet and arm, Miles Sanders is getting a heavier workload, and it finally looks like they have a unit of strong pass catchers in A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert. Having CB Shaquill Griffin out last week didn’t affect the Jacksonville secondary, but not having him this week would be a big blow.
The Philadelphia defense has shut down their opponents, allowing just 15 points in the last two games, and Jacksonville has seen one non-bottom five-scoring defense so far. Pederson would love a storybook ending to his revenge game, but not against this talent.
Total Odds: +608
View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by player with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our How To Section — including How to Avoid the 7 Biggest Sports Betting Mistakes — or head to a more advanced strategy — like Thinking Like an Expert Sports Bettor — to learn more.