NFL Week 4 Pick’em Pool Predictions (2025)
Week 3 was a crazy one around the NFL. The Green Bay Packers blew a 10-0 lead against the Cleveland Browns, the Los Angeles Rams blew a 26-7 lead against the Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Jets very nearly upset the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Carolina Panthers shut out the Atlanta Falcons 30-0, and the Detroit Lions defeated the Baltimore Ravens in Baltimore. As I turn my attention to Week 4, there are still quite a few teams that don't seem to have an identity yet, while others are emerging as either powerhouses or bottom feeders.
Here are my top NFL Week 4 pick’em pool predictions.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
NFL Week 4 Pick’em Pool Predictions (2025)
Minnesota Vikings vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The NFL's first game in Dublin has a tight spread, but I don't think this game is going to be very close. In their first game without J.J. McCarthy, the Vikings beat the Cincinnati Bengals 48-10. The defense, which struggled a bit in Week 1 against the Chicago Bears, put together what could end up being the best defensive performance of the season, as they scored two touchdowns, forced five turnovers and only gave up 171 yards.
Many may consider the performance a fluke against a backup quarterback, but I haven't liked what I've seen from the Steelers this season. They forced five turnovers last week, and yet they still only won by seven, as they scored just 21 against a team that allowed 27 to the Miami Dolphins the week before.
The Steelers only managed 203 yards of offense against the New England Patriots, and I worry that even if Carson Wentz doesn't play as cleanly as he did last week, Aaron Rodgers and the offense won't be able to take advantage of the mistakes. The Vikings win easily over a team that isn't as good as their record indicates.
Pick: Minnesota Vikings
Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons
One week after defeating the Vikings 22-6, the Falcons came out and put together a dreadful performance against the Panthers. While they actually outgained the Panthers by more than 100 yards, they lost 30-0, as Michael Penix Jr. threw two interceptions.
Meanwhile, the Commanders took the field without Jayden Daniels and put up 41 points anyway. They were in total control for the entire second half, as Marcus Mariota threw just six incompletions and one touchdown.
Daniels’ status is up in the air again. If he plays, the Commanders will win this game with ease. However, it seems oddsmakers are expecting Daniels to miss this game, as the Commanders are only favored by 1.5 points. This is a very fishy line, as it's safe to assume the public will be all over the Commanders after what happened last week. But this is a week-to-week league. Remember, the Packers just lost to the Browns. If Daniels doesn't play, give me the Falcons at home, as they rebound from an embarrassing Week 3 loss.
Pick: Atlanta Falcons
Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
One of these teams is going to be 1-3, and my money is on the Chiefs. While the Ravens were just bulldozed by the Detroit Lions, giving up 224 rushing yards, they won't have any such problems this week. The Chiefs are only averaging 108 rushing yards per game, and they only managed 105 yards against the New York Giants' run defense.
Even though the Ravens lost by eight at home, they still scored 30 points. They've now scored 111 points this season. Based on what the Chiefs have done through three weeks, I struggle to see how they're going to keep pace with that type of offense. After all, the Chiefs haven't scored more than 22 points in a game yet, and they just faced one of the worst defenses in the league.
Lamar Jackson is just 1-5 against the Chiefs in his career. However, with how limited Patrick Mahomes' weapons are on the offensive side, Jackson clearly has the advantage in this game. Xavier Worthy may be able to return to the field for this contest, but even if he does, the Ravens have too many weapons for the Chiefs to slow down. The Ravens’ defense is problematic, but in a high-scoring game, give me the better offense.
Pick: Baltimore Ravens
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins
The Jets may have lost more dramatically this past week, but the Dolphins played much better than them for a full 60 minutes. The Jets had only six points entering the fourth quarter against the Buccaneers, before an epic near-collapse. Meanwhile, the Dolphins were tied with the Buffalo Bills in the fourth quarter before the better team ultimately pulled away.
Justin Fields' status for Week 4 is still unknown, but whether he plays or not, I'm taking the Dolphins to win this game. Even against a defense that gives up 370.3 yards per game, I don't think that Fields or Tyrod Taylor can move the ball effectively for four quarters. Fields had a great Week 1, but he looked terrible in Week 2. And Taylor couldn't do anything to keep his team competitive for most of Week 3.
The Dolphins are almost impossible to trust. After all, they're 0-3. But they showed that they haven't given up on Mike McDaniel yet on Thursday night. With a long week of rest, I expect a fresh team to take it to a division rival that looks just as lost as they did a year ago.
Pick: Miami Dolphins
For more of my picks and predictions all season long, subscribe to BettingPros. Right now, new subscribers receive a 20% discount that grants access to picks, predictions, and odds comparison tools.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.