NFL Week 5 Anytime TD Scorers: Dolphins vs. Patriots (2024)
Last week I went 5-7 on my Anytime Touchdown bets, but only hit one First Touchdown bet. The result was a marginal profit of +0.2 units. Still, it beats the alternative.
Here are my favorite NFL anytime TD and first TD picks for all 11 games on Sunday's main slate, including the London game.
As always, I am tracking these using bet sizes of 0.4 units on anytime touchdown and 0.1 units on first touchdown. Use your discretion and adjust as you see fit. We compare anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify this week's best bets. Here are our top Anytime TD scorer prop bet picks for NFL Week 5’s game: Dolphins vs. Patriots.
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Best NFL Week 5 Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets: Dolphins vs. Patriots
Who will score a touchdown in this week’s NFL Games? The Anytime TD market covers any player who carries or receives the ball into the end zone, not the QB who passes the ball. We compare anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and projections to help identify today’s best bets. View Anytime Touchdown odds across sportsbooks here.
(All wagers are 0.5 units)
Dolphins vs. Patriots
- Anytime TD Odds: +210 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- First TD Odds: +900 at DraftKings Sportsbook
This game features two teams spinning their wheels offensively. Miami has not scored a touchdown in two games since losing quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. And New England has only scored four touchdowns this season, including just one across their last two games. As bad as Miami has looked, I think there is some value with Tyreek Hill in this matchup. New England ranks 28th in pass defense defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) and is pressuring the quarterback at a league-low 25% clip. That should help give Tyler Huntley time to throw downfield. Hill is too talented to be held down forever. I think he could get loose for a score in this matchup.