NFL Week 5 Anytime Touchdown Scorer & Win Parlays (2025)
I went 1-2 last week in my anytime touchdown scorer and Moneyline (win) parlays. It was frustrating because the Moneyline legs hit fairly easily, as all three teams I backed won by double digits. They also all scored at least 28 points, which meant there was no lack of touchdown scoring. However, the right players did not find the end zone.
For what it's worth, the one player who did, Amon-Ra St. Brown, scored twice. In Buffalo, my longshot (Keon Coleman) failed to score, while safer options James Cook and Josh Allen found paydirt. Spoiler alert: I may not have learned my lesson there yet. And on that note, here I will reveal three of my favorite NFL Week 5 anytime touchdown scorer & win parlays. Adjust as you see fit.
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NFL Week 5 Anytime Touchdown Scorer & Win Parlays
Las Vegas Raiders at Indianapolis Colts
I am kicking this week's article off by betting on the Indianapolis Colts against the Las Vegas Raiders. Vegas has installed Indianapolis as a 6.5-point favorite. That makes the Colts one of the biggest favorites on the Week 5 board. The Colts have scored 11 touchdowns on offense through four weeks. Of those, 10 have been scored by three players. Running back Jonathan Taylor has scored four times, while quarterback Daniel Jones and wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. have scored three times each. Even though Las Vegas has a solid run defense and Taylor is the chalkiest pick on the team, he is my preferred option to score in this matchup.
Taylor leads the NFL in rushing yards through the end of September. He has touched the ball at least 20 times in all four games so far this year. That volume is hard to find. While Las Vegas has been decent in terms of limiting production to opposing running backs, their numbers on a per-carry basis are nothing special. They rank 18th in the NFL in yards per carry allowed to the running back position. Only seven teams have given up more rushing touchdowns to opposing backs than the Raiders. Given what appears to be a neutral, if not favorable, matchup and the expected game script, Taylor should get plenty of opportunities to score in this game.
Bet: Jonathan Taylor Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Indianapolis Colts to Win (-130 at BetMGM)
Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals
Though I tend to back Detroit more when they are at home, I am confident in their ability to win their Week 5 matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals. I am not the only one, as the Lions are the biggest favorite on the board. Cincinnati's offense has been abysmal since losing quarterback Joe Burrow. They have totaled just 13 points across their last two games. And their defense, which was already subpar, is being exposed. Only the Cleveland Browns have failed to score at least 27 points against the Bengals. Cincinnati is an equal opportunity defense in terms of allowed production. They enable production to all position groups, and in a variety of ways. I would not argue against any of Detroit's primary weapons on offense. While it may be chalky, I am betting on Jahmyr Gibbs to score at least once on Sunday.
For the record, swapping in David Montgomery for Gibbs would reduce the odds of this parlay to -125. And that is not a horrible play by any means. But there are a couple of reasons I prefer Gibbs here. Per FTN, Cincinnati allows the most adjusted line yards per rush in the NFL this year. However, they are tied for third in the league in success rate against power runs. Montgomery is the "Knuckles" in Detroit's Sonic and Knuckles backfield for a reason. He is the team's power running back. Gibbs is the much quicker option and the bigger threat to break a big play by bouncing the ball outside and simply outrunning defenders.
Gibbs' ability as a pass-catcher is another reason I prefer him over Montgomery. Again, it is not as if Montgomery is incapable of contributing as a receiver. But Gibbs has 20 catches through four games, compared to just six for Montgomery. The Bengals rank 30th in the NFL in DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) when it comes to defending pass-catching running backs. No team in the league has allowed more receiving touchdowns (three) to enemy backs than the Bengals. If the price difference between Gibbs and Montgomery were wider, perhaps I would choose Montgomery. However, I am willing to pay a bit more juice to back the player with the skill set that fits more in line with Cincinnati's defensive inadequacies.
Bet: Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Detroit Lions to Win (-143 at Caesars Sportsbook)
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
My final anytime touchdown scorer & win parlay for the Week 5 slate brings us to Buffalo for Sunday Night Football. It is easily my longest shot of the weekend. However, there are two ways to view it. If we hit our first two parlays, we are freerolling into Sunday night. If we lose both, hitting this one bet alone would make up for it and turn this into a winning weekend.
New England is an improved bunch, and there are some intriguing Stefon Diggs narratives at play. Having said that, New England will not pull off this upset. Buffalo trails only Detroit among this week's biggest favorites based on current point spreads. I believe the Bills will dispatch of the Patriots relatively easily and advance to 5-0. Even though I got burned by not going with James Cook or Josh Allen last week, I am going back to the well of picking a Buffalo pass-catcher as my anytime touchdown scorer candidate. This time around, I am going with tight end Dalton Kincaid.
The Patriots rank eighth in the NFL in defensive DVOA versus the run, but just 28th against the pass. The Patriots also tend to funnel production to the tight end position. They are currently in the top 10 in the NFL in terms of receptions and receiving yards allowed to opposing tight ends. New England ranks 28th in the league in yards per coverage snap given up to tight ends. They have allowed two touchdowns to the position and rank dead last in the league in red-zone touchdown percentage allowed. Kincaid ranks second in the NFL among tight ends in terms of red-zone target rate. No tight end has more red-zone yards or touchdowns than the third-year Buffalo Bill. Kincaid has already set a career-high in touchdown grabs, and I look for him to add to that total on Sunday night.
Bet: Dalton Kincaid Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Buffalo Bills to Win (+294 at DraftKings Sportsbook)