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NFL Week 5 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)

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NFL Week 5 is here and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. Picking matchups against the spread and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a Same Game Parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the Week 5 Sunday afternoon slate.

Keep in mind that the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kickoff. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets as well. Without further ado, let's dive into the best NFL Week 5 Same Game Parlays bets before the games get underway.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 5)

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears

The Panthers have arguably the worst defense in the NFL. They're allowing a league-high 32.3 points per game PPG this season while giving up 358 total yards of offense per game (28th). Better offenses like New Orleans and Cincinnati have scored 47 and 34 points, respectively, against Carolina. More mediocre attacks like the Chargers and Raiders have put up 26 and 22 points, respectively. 

Chicago has been below-average offensively, averaging 19.3 PPG this year. Still, the Bears should get better as the season progresses as rookie quarterback Caleb Williams gets more comfortable. We can feel better about Williams and the offense at home in this favorable matchup. Chicago has scored 24 points in both home games so far. 

Much of Carolina's defensive issues have come on the ground. The Panthers are giving up 148.8 rushing yards per game (29th in NFL). Through four games, five different opposing running backs have gained 50+ yards against this defense - including two each for the Bengals and Chargers. It sets up well for D'Andre Swift to have success on the ground. Swift had a slow start to the season but woke up last week with 93 rushing yards on 16 carries. 

With Adam Thielen sidelined, Diontae Johnson is locked into targets in the Carolina offense. Johnson had seven receptions for 83 yards on 13 targets last week and eight receptions for 122 yards on 14 targets two weeks ago. He also found the end zone in both games. These past two performances have also coincided with Andy Dalton starting over Bryce Young. It's clear Johnson is a favorite option for Dalton right now. 

Parlay Odds: +495 

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

Even with all of the offensive talent on both sides of this AFC North showdown, the total is a tad inflated. The oddsmakers are likely influenced too much by the Ravens scoring 63 points combined over the past two games and the Bengals putting up 67 points in the past two weeks. Despite both offenses lighting it up lately, this divisional matchup should be lower-scoring. 

Baltimore just held Josh Allen and the Buffalo offense to 10 points last week and can carry that effort over into this matchup. The Ravens boast the best run defense in the NFL this season, allowing a league-low 57.8 rushing yards per game. If they limit Cincinnati's run game, it will put a ton of pressure on Joe Burow and the passing attack to put up points. The Bengals benefited from facing weak defenses in Carolina and Washington the past two games but the competition ramps up now. Meanwhile, the Ravens employ a run-heavy offense and should stick to the ground plenty this week with Cincy's banged-up defensive line. 

The Bengals have struggled to stop the run this season, allowing 145.5 rushing yards per game (26th in NFL). Baltimore should have success on the ground in this matchup, so you could consider props for either (or both) Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson. We'll go with Jackson, who has 308 rushing yards through four games while averaging 77 yards per game and 7.5 yards per carry. The Ravens' dual-threat QB has 50+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine games vs. Cincinnati.

On the other side, Burrow has been limited by Baltimore in recent seasons. He's averaging just 192.8 passing yards per game over his past five games against the Ravens. Burrow has also been held below 225 passing yards in each of those five contests. 

Parlay Odds: +430

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots

This AFC East matchup between the Dolphins and Patriots may take the cake as the least entertaining of the NFL weekend. Still, we can get some action on the snoozefest even if you aren't fully tuned in. Speaking of snoozefest, don't expect much scoring with a pair of struggling offenses here. 

The total for this game is low for a reason. Miami is averaging a league-worst 11.3 PPG and has been held to 12, 3 and 10 points in the past three weeks. As long as Tua Tagovailoa remains out, the offensive issues will likely continue with Tyler Huntley and/or Skylar Thompson under center. The Dolphins have mustered just 205 and 178 total yards of offense in the past two games. 

Meanwhile, New England is scoring only 13.0 PPG, which is second-lowest in the NFL behind Miami. The Pats are also averaging a league-low 238.8 total yards per game. This offense has severe issues at receiver and on the line, which won't get any better with center David Andrews now out. Take the under on the Patriots' team total as they've scored only 16 points combined over the past two games. 

Despite the low-scoring barnburner here, let's take a shot at Antonio Gibson's anytime touchdown odds. Gibson's snaps have increased with each game this season as he becomes a bigger part of the Patriots offense. Rhamondre Stevenson, on the other hand, has been very underwhelming in the past two games and he's fumbled four times already. Head coach Jerod Mayo even said this week he's considering benching Stevenson for Gibson. Then we have a Miami defense that's allowed seven rushing scores in four games so far. 

Parlay Odds: +850 

Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders

The Commanders are off to a 3-1 start and Jayden Daniels is now the favorite for Rookie of the Year. As eye-opening as Daniels has been and as impressive as Washington's record is right now, it's a perfect time to sell high. It's not the popular thing to do, but backing the Browns is the sharp move this week. 

Washington's early-season success on offense deserves some context. Daniels has benefited from facing a pair of subpar defenses in the past two weeks (Arizona and Cincinnati). Things get tougher with the Browns coming to town. Cleveland had the league's best pass defense last season, in terms of yards allowed per game and completion percentage. This year hasn't been as elite but the Browns have held opposing quarterbacks to a 58.7% completion rate (second in the NFL). 

This will be the Commanders' toughest test since they eked out a three-point home win over the Giants in Week 2, which required a game-winning field goal and New York bungling things in the fourth quarter. Cleveland, meanwhile, will be motivated to get the win with its 1-3 record. The Browns have lost a pair of one-possession games in both of the past two weeks. 

After putting up 38 and 42 points against easier defenses in the last two games, the Commanders are bound for some regression. Again, it's risky, but take the under on Washington's team total. On that note, take the under on Daniels' passing yards line. He's averaging 224.3 yards per game this season but now faces a Cleveland defense holding opponents to 175.8 passing yards per contest. 

Parlay Odds: +425 

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

Things have gone from bad to worse for the Jaguars with their 0-4 start to the season. However, the poor record deserves some quick context. All four of Jacksonville's losses have come against playoff teams from last year and three have been on the road. Last week, the Jags led the Texans with three minutes to go and easily could've won. 

Doug Pederson's squad now returns home for a divisional matchup and it's a good buy-low opportunity. This is desperation time for Jacksonville and, hopefully, they respond positively to Pederson calling out the players in last week's press conference. The Jaguars beat the Colts by double-digits twice last season and are 4-2 in this rivalry over the previous three seasons. 

The Colts' pass defense has been shaky in recent games. They allowed 363 passing yards to Caleb Williams two weeks ago and 312 to Justin Field last week. Trevor Lawrence is a better passer than both and we're still waiting for a productive game from him. Lawrence is averaging just 182.3 passing yards per game this season but he averaged 251 last year and 242 two years ago. 

Indianapolis pulled off the home victory last week despite Anthony Richardson leaving early and Joe Flacco entering in relief. The Colts should regress offensively on the road, especially with Jonathan Taylor out with a high-ankle sprain. His absence is a big one and puts too much responsibility on Flacco, who is expected to start in Richardson's place. Take the under on Indy's team total.

Parlay Odds: +445 

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

After losing handily at Baltimore on Sunday night last week, the Bills are in a classic bounce-back spot. Plus, we've already seen how good Buffalo can be based on its 21-point win over Miami and a 37-point win over Jacksonville earlier this season. Sean McDermott and Josh Allen have been trustworthy coming off a loss. The Bills are 12-3 straight up (SU) in games following a loss during the regular season over the past three seasons. Two road games in a row are tough, but this matchup is an easier one for Buffalo. 

Despite their 3-1 record, the Texans have underperformed a bit relative to expectations. Houston has failed to cover a spread thus far and that loss was a 27-point deficit to Minnesota. That's also the only "tough" opponent the Texans have faced thus far. They also barely beat the Jaguars last week, needing a touchdown in the final minute to get the win. 

As the Bills bounce back, so too will James Cook. The Buffalo running back had just 48 total yards on 10 touches in last week's loss, though he still averaged 4.3 yards per carry. In the previous three games, Cook had 87, 95 and 103 combined rushing and receiving yards. He's a big part of the offensive game plan and should see a larger share of carries and targets this week. Cook will face a Texans defense that gave up 148 total yards to Aaron Jones two games ago and 150 combined to the Jaguars backfield last week. It might be a huge stat line for the Bills' lead back. 

Even though we're backing the Bills here, let's add in a Texans prop. Joe Mixon is not expected to play for a third straight week. In his absence last game, Cam Akers saw 13 carries for 53 yards to lead the Houston backfield. If the offense wants to run the ball, Akers is the guy. On that note, the Texans should look to run it against a Bills defense that's allowing a league-high 5.7 yards per carry this year. Meanwhile, over the past three seasons, Akers is averaging 63.4 rushing yards per game when he sees double-digit carries (13-game sample size)

Parlay Odds: +700 

Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos

If the first four weeks are any indication, the Broncos will be playing in a ton of low-scoring games this season. Denver's defense is allowing only 13.8 PPG (third in the NFL) and 256.5 total yards per game (second). Meanwhile, the offense isn't exactly lighting it up with just 15.5 PPG (28th). Rookie QB Bo Nix has been underwhelming and the defense has been one of the league's best units. Broncos games are 3-1 to the under with an average of 29.3 total points being scored. 

The Raiders' offense, led by Gardner Minshew, has been feisty at times this season but this is a tough matchup on the road at Denver. They haven't had success on the ground, averaging just 76.3 rushing yards per game (31st). That puts more pressure on Minshew to make plays, which isn't ideal against an aggressive Broncos defense that has 16 sacks on the year (second in the league) while allowing 146 passing yards per game (third). 

Speaking of the Las Vegas offense, you may have heard that Davante Adams is currently sitting out amid his trade rumors. Well, in his absence, Jakobi Meyers is now a top target for Minshew in the passing game. Meyers' 10 targets and 49 yards led the Raiders' receiving corps last week in Adams’ absence. He also had seven catches for 62 yards the game prior.

Though we're backing the under, Javonte Williams can still have a productive game. The Denver running back just ran for 77 yards on 16 carries last week and can carry that over into this matchup. The Raiders are allowing 5.1 yards per carry (30th in the NFL) and are giving up 97.8 rushing yards per game to lead backs thus far. Williams is that for Denver despite Jaleel McLaughlin being involved. Plus, Williams is the clear better pass-catching back in the offense. 

Parlay Odds: +575 

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are 7-point home favorites with an over/under at 50 points this week against Arizona. The spread and total are tough to pinpoint, but we should count on San Francisco scoring its fair share. Despite missing multiple key pieces offensively early on this season, the 49ers are still averaging 413.3 total yards per game (second in the NFL) and 25.8 PPG (eighth). The offense put up 30 points last week with Deebo Samuel and George Kittle back in the mix. 

The Cardinals, meanwhile, are giving up 26.5 PPG (29th) including 42 to Washington just last week. This defense has been inconsistent and could run into trouble on the road here. The 49ers put up 45 and 35 points vs. Arizona last year and they're averaging 39 PPG over the past four meetings with the division rival. 

Christian McCaffrey who? Jordan Mason has filled in perfectly as San Francisco's lead back so far, racking up 447 yards and averaging 4.9 yards per carry through the first four games. He has three 100-yard games already and at least 77 yards in each contest. He's also seen 20+ touches in every game. Expect the heavy workload to continue, especially if the 49ers have the lead in the second half. 

Arizona's defense is giving up 146.5 rushing yards per game (27th in the NFL) with eight rushing scores allowed (32nd). This run defense has already coughed up 101 yards to Brian Robinson Jr. and 105 yards to David Montgomery. Bank on Mason to continue the trend of lead backs having success on the ground in this matchup. He's also poised to find the end zone, as he's done in three out of four games this year.

Parlay Odds: +415

Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams

With Jordan Love back last week, the Packers put up 29 points in the loss to Minnesota. Love threw for 389 yards and four touchdowns despite missing the previous two games with a knee injury. Green Bay is now averaging 26.0 PPG (sixth in the NFL) and 410 total yards per game (3rd) - and that's with Malik Willis at quarterback for half of the time. 

Even on the road here, the Packers should put up points this week. Los Angeles is allowing 28.8 PPG (31st) and 385.3 total yards per game (31st) with arguably the league's worst defense. The Rams have also given up at least 24 points in each game thus far. 

As the Packers have success offensively, Josh Jacobs should be a big part of that game plan. The Rams are allowing a league-high 165.5 rushing yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry (28th in NFL). Lead backs against the Rams this season have gained 91 yards (David Montgomery), 122 yards (James Conner), 77 yards (Jordan Mason) and 93 yards (D'Andre Swift). Meanwhile, Jacobs is due for a bounceback after rushing for 51 yards on only nine carries last week (5.7 yards per carry). He had 84 and 151 yards in the first two games for Green Bay. 

On the Rams' side of things, let's roll with a Tutu Atwell prop. The wideout is a top option for Matthew Stafford by default as long as Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are out. Atwell has 82 and 93 yards in the past two games with his teammates sidelined. Los Angeles likely also needs to keep pace with Green Bay's offense here. The Packers have already allowed 70+ yards to five different receivers through four games. 

Parlay Odds: +465 

New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks

It's been a rough start to the season for New York at 1-3 with two divisional losses already on the resume. A road trip to Seattle comes at a tough time with a couple of key offensive playmakers injured. Malik Nabers is out and Devin Singletary is doubtful this week, leaving the Giants' offense shorthanded. Nabers and Singletary combined for 55% of New York's total yards and total touches offensively.

The Giants are averaging only 15.0 PPG this season with 21 or fewer points in each contest. Without Nabers and possibly Singletary, it's asking a lot from Daniel Jones to run an efficient offense on the road sans his top two weapons. Take the under on New York's team total as Seattle's defense should be amped up at home. 

The Seahawks will be looking to bounce back from last week's road loss at Detroit. This is a 3-1 team that's a clear tier above the Giants right now. The Seattle offense still put up 29 points against the Lions a week ago and is averaging 25.5 PPG (ninth in the NFL) and 387 total yards of offense per game (fourth). They can build a lead that will prove to be too much for New York to keep pace. 

Even in a double-digit loss last week, Kenneth Walker looked good in his return from injury. The Seahawks' lead back ran for 80 yards on 12 carries (6.7 yards per carry) with three touchdowns. He even added 36 receiving yards on four catches. Back in Week 1, Walker ran for 103 yards on 20 carries. He now faces a Giants rush defense that's allowing 4.7 yards per carry and gave up 133 yards to Brian Robinson Jr. and 94 yards to Aaron Jones this season. 

With Nabers and Singletary sidelined, Wan'Dale Robinson will be a bigger part of the New York offense. He was already second on the team in targets (behind Nabers) with 38 through four games. Robinson has recorded 6+ receptions in three games and just had 12 catches last week. Lock him in for a large target share, especially with the Giants likely playing from behind and throwing it more.

Parlay Odds: +750 

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:

 

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