NFL Week 6 First TD Scorers Picks & Predictions (2024)
Someone must score the first touchdown of the game, and this article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.
I will track my plays here on BettingPros. Let's get to the first touchdown scorer predictions for NFL Week 6.
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NFL Week 6 First Touchdown Scorer Picks
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears
Tank Bigsby cannot be ignored any longer. He ran for 101 yards and two touchdowns on 13 carries last week. He has been hard to ignore playing behind Travis Etienne Jr. The Bears allow 120.8 rushing yards per game, which is below average. Bigsby averages eight yards a carry, which is about as efficient as it gets. He is a solid player because he is close to breaking a long run every time he touches the ball.
Pick: Tank Bigsby (+900 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints
Rashid Shaheed leads the Saints with 6.8 targets per game. Most of those targets come deep down the field. The Buccaneers have struggled against the pass this season due to multiple injuries in their secondary. They allow 258.4 passing yards per game and were torched by Drake London last week. Shaheed has a good chance of catching a deep pass for a score in this game. Hopefully, it will happen early.
Pick: Rashid Shaheed (+1200 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers
Both teams have been able to get out to hot starts, averaging more than eight points per game in the first quarter. The coin flip may determine which team scores first, but the Cardinals' defense is the lesser of the two. Jayden Reed averages 5.6 targets per game, with almost two carries per game. He receives a lot of opportunities when he is on the field and has big-play ability.
Pick: Jayden Reed (+600 via Caesars Sportsbook)
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans
Anthony Richardson is dealing with an oblique injury but was able to practice in full on Thursday, which is a good sign he will play. He will be without Michael Pittman Jr., who has a back injury and will miss this week. Jonathan Taylor has also been missing practice because of an ankle injury, so Richardson may have to do a lot on offense. The Titans have allowed a rushing touchdown to a quarterback in two consecutive weeks. They were on a bye last week, but Malik Willis and Tyler Huntley were able to run it in against them in the two weeks prior. Richardson may have some running lanes, especially near the goal line.
Pick: Anthony Richardson (+900 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles
DeVonta Smith missed Week 4 because of a concussion, but he looks ready to play after recovering during the bye week. He averages 9.3 targets per game and has received four targets in the red zone this season. The Browns have a decent defense, but allow 24.2 points per game. The Eagles should be improved after a bye week to get healthy, and Smith should continue his hot start.
Pick: DeVonta Smith (+900 via FanDuel Sportsbook)
Houston Texans @ New England Patriots
Nico Collins has been placed on injured reserve (IR) due to a hamstring injury. His nine targets per game will have to go to someone else. Stefon Diggs averages 8.2 targets per game, but Tank Dell only averages 5.3 per game. Dell should receive a higher target share while Collins is out, especially given the chemistry he displayed with C.J. Stroud last season. Diggs will likely be shadowed by Christian Gonzalez, so Dell may have to be counted on to make plays.
Pick: Tank Dell (+700 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Washington Commanders @ Baltimore Ravens
The Commanders have been awful defending the pass this season. They have allowed the most passing touchdowns and have zero interceptions. The Ravens may pass the ball more than usual on Sunday. Zay Flowers averages 7.8 targets per game. He received 12 last week. He has received three red zone targets this season but has only pulled down one. He has the best matchup and could benefit from the jump.
Pick: Zay Flowers (+850 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos
The Broncos have been carried by their defense, but only one other team allows fewer points per game this season - the Chargers. The Chargers have allowed 12.5 points per game and have had a bye week to prepare for the Broncos. It could be a low-scoring game because the total is at 35.5. J.K. Dobbins will be on the field for about 59% of snaps. He is averaging 14 carries per game. He should have the best chance to score in this defensive battle, so he is a good bet to score first.
Pick: J.K. Dobbins (+650 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders
Van Jefferson averages 67% of snaps and has played more than 80% in three out of five games. He only averages 2.6 targets per game but received five last game and two in the red zone. The Raiders are not great at defending the pass, and Justin Fields should keep them honest with his legs. The Steelers run the ball more than 50% of the time, but Jefferson is on the field for most plays and should have opportunities. Aidan O'Connell is starting for the Raiders, and Arthur Smith calls plays for the Steelers, so this is a good spot to place a longshot bet.
Pick: Van Jefferson (+1800 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
The Panthers are not good at defending the run. They allow 144.6 rushing yards per game and have allowed nine rushing touchdowns to the running back position this season. Bijan Robinson's snap share has fallen in recent weeks, but he still is on the field more than 65% of the time. He is involved heavily in the passing attack, averaging 3.8 targets per game. The matchup is perfect for Robinson's first breakout game of the season.
Pick: Bijan Robinson (+475 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys
Jalen Tolbert had a big game filling in for Brandin Cooks last week. He received 10 targets. He caught seven for 87 yards and a touchdown. The Lions allow the sixth-most passing yards (258.3) per game and the third-most yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. CeeDee Lamb will do most of his work in the slot, so Tolbert will have a good matchup on the outside. The Cowboys also pass 63.98% of the time, which should improve Tolbert's odds of finding paydirt.