NFL Week 6 Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (2024)
Welcome to Sleeper Picks! Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for this week's NFL action. Similar to fantasy sports, the goal in Sleeper Picks is to draft a team of players based on who you think will perform better than the field. But with Sleeper Picks, you pick teams of 2-8 players from multiple teams based on your preferences and predict whether those players will score more or less than a predetermined amount. There are a number of ways to play and a variety of strategies to employ, and we’ll guide you through the process each week.
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NFL Week 6 Sleeper Picks
2024 Record: 10-5
Derrick Henry (RB – BAL): OVER 75.5 rushing yards (alt line)
It was a slow debut for Derrick Henry back in Week 1, but since then, he has morphed back into King Henry the War Horse. Henry has recorded 84 or more rushing yards in four straight games, clearing 92 rushing yards in three straight. He has averaged 131.5 rushing yards over those four games. Henry shows no signs of slowing down now that the Ravens have installed packages to maximize his potential and should continue to thrive in an offense where opposing defenses are forced to account for the two-time, reigning MVP of the league. We took an alt line here because the multiplier drop from 1.73x to 1.43x is negligible, and it greatly increases the probability of a click. Washington has surrendered at least 91 rushing yards to the running back position in every game this year, putting Henry in line for another game atop the century mark. Hit the More on Henry for Week 6.
Stefon Diggs (WR – HOU): OVER 65.5 receiving yards
I contemplated Tank Dell here as well, but the Diggs line was low enough that he made the most sense based on what we have seen from the two receivers this year. Nico Collins is on IR, which means that CJ Stroud will have close friend Dell back as a two wide starter but also means that Diggs should be peppered with targets as the depth chart behind Diggs and Dell consists of Xavier Hutchinson, an aging Robert Woods, and the talented John Metchie, who has never proven a return to form after missing a year due to a battle with Leukemia. Diggs has recorded 69 or more receiving yards in three straight games and should be good for at least that against the New England Patriots. New England has relinquished the ninth most receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position at 164.2 per contest. Dap the More on Diggs for Week 6 at Sleeper Picks.
Darnell Mooney (WR – ATL): OVER 53.5 receiving yards
This is where my Malik Nabers play usually goes, but he is not yet listed at Sleeper Picks due to not yet clearing concussion protocol (as of writing). If he is active, he is the play here for the More on receiving yards. He will clear whatever number they assign to him. Nabers had a concussion and not an injury that wil cause him to see limited snaps whenever he does finally return. On to this play, Darnell Mooney was elite in Week 5, hauling in nine of 16 targets for 105 receiving yards. Mooney has topped 56 receiving yards in four straight games and should hit at least 55 this weekend, even if gamescript severely cuts Kirk Cousins' pass attempts compared to last week. Mooney is a deep threat who can hit this number on just one or two receptions. Carolina has allowed the 14th most receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position at 147.2 per game. This suggests that even without gamescipt they are still gifting plenty of yardage to the position. There was some alt line consideration here as other markets have Mooney listed as low as 50.5, but three yards is very unlikely to make a difference here. Mash the More on Mooney for Week 6 at Sleeper Picks.
Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper, so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.
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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.