NFL Week 7 Anytime Touchdown Scorer & Win Parlays (2025)
I am satisfied to have hit at least one of these anytime touchdown scorer & win parlays in all six weeks. However, I was delighted to have finally achieved the elusive 3-0 outing last week. It got a little dicey in the last game when Josh Jacobs (whom I only stayed away from because of price) scored the first two touchdowns for the Green Bay Packers. However, Tucker Kraft came through in the clutch and secured the sweep. That brings the total record on the season to 11-7. Hopefully, we can keep that mojo going as we look forward to Week 7 in the NFL.
This week’s slate is interesting because there are not many heavy favorites. Only two teams are favored by at least seven points. Still, there are several spots I expect to be fruitful. Here are three of my favorite anytime touchdown scorer & win parlays for Week 7.
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NFL Week 7 Anytime Touchdown Scorer & Win Parlays
Los Angeles Rams at Jacksonville Jaguars
My first Week 7 anytime touchdown scorer & win parlay is different from the norm. The Los Angeles Rams are only 3.5-point favorites facing a 4-2 Jacksonville Jaguars squad. However, I believe the Rams are the better overall team. The Rams rank fourth in total DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average), including third on offense and fifth on defense. Jacksonville, meanwhile, is 14th overall, including 16th on both offense and defense. There are a few key matchup advantages that have me leaning towards the Rams on the Moneyline in this game. Many of those advantages can be found in the passing game, which leads to my anytime touchdown scorer for this game. I am going with Rams wide receiver Davante Adams.
Over the first six weeks, the Rams’ passing game has primarily centered around Puka Nacua. Nacua leads the NFL in receptions and is second in receiving yards. But it is not as if Adams is an afterthought by any means. Nacua is one of only five NFL receivers who enter Week 7 with more targets than Adams. Adams is tied for the team lead with three receiving touchdowns as well. With Nacua expected to miss this game due to injury, Adams could easily earn a dozen targets against a vulnerable Jaguars secondary.
While the Jaguars are in the middle of the pack in terms of total passing defense, there are some disturbing trends beneath the surface. Jacksonville ranks dead last in the NFL in yards allowed to outside receivers this season. Adams has lined up outside on over 82% of his snaps so far this year. I do not expect that to change significantly, even without Nacua. Jordan Whittington and Tutu Atwell have shared the team’s primary slot receiver role. I expect one of them to line up in the slot most of the time on Sunday. The Jaguars also rank 30th in long completions allowed. Adams enters this matchup placing sixth in the NFL with eight catches of at least 20 yards.
Jacksonville’s red-zone pass defense has been solid, but certainly not impenetrable. They have allowed five passing touchdowns on just 23 targets inside the red zone this year, per Lineups. What I find most interesting about Adams’ usage this far is that he has already scored three touchdowns despite extreme inefficiency in the red zone. Matthew Stafford has targeted Adams 13 times inside the 20-yard line, including eight times inside the 10-yard line. Both of those numbers lead the NFL. However, those 13 looks have resulted in just two receptions. If Stafford and Adams could get on the same page, the veterans could be in for a huge game. I like Adams to score and help the Rams defeat the Jaguars in this matchup.
Bet: Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Los Angeles Rams to Win (+175 at Fanatics Sportsbook; +169 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Las Vegas Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
My next parlay is unlike any that I have written about this season. The reason for this is that I do not yet know the exact price on the major sportsbooks. On some niche books like bet365 and Hard Rock Bet, this is anywhere between +200 and +250. I suspect the other books will follow suit soon enough, and I am fine playing this in that range. I am picking the Kansas City Chiefs to dispatch of their division rivals, the Las Vegas Raiders. And I am going with Chiefs wide receiver Xavier Worthy as my anytime touchdown scorer.
We cannot say for sure what Kansas City’s offense will look like now that Rashee Rice is back. However, Worthy has led the team in total targets over the past three weeks with 21. He has also carried the ball four additional times in the last three games. It would not shock me to see Worthy heavily involved once again versus the Raiders this week.
The Raiders play zone coverage at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes has targeted Worthy at the 12th-highest rate among wide receivers against zone coverage, per Pro Football Focus (PFF). Las Vegas ranks in the bottom five in the NFL in receptions and receiving yards allowed to opposing wide receivers. They are in the middle of the pack in terms of touchdowns allowed, with six.
On sportsbooks where this prop is currently available, Worthy has longer odds to score than Rice, tight end Travis Kelce and running backs Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt. Worthy has scored 13 times in 22 NFL games in which he has played at least five snaps. There is some value here with the return of Rice. I cannot assume that Rice is automatically going to step in and soak up double-digit targets in his 2025 debut. Because of that, Worthy is my preferred pick.
Bet: Xavier Worthy Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Kansas City Chiefs to Win (Price and Sportsbook TBD)
New York Giants at Denver Broncos
Denver (4-2) enters this game as a solid favorite against the New York Giants (2-4). New York has won two out of three games since turning to rookie Jaxson Dart as the team’s new starting quarterback. However, the loss was an ugly effort that included five turnovers against a previously winless New Orleans Saints team. That has been Dart’s only real NFL action on the road to date, and Denver is an excellent home team. In fact, the Broncos have yet to allow a touchdown in two home games this season. I expect the Broncos to hold the Giants’ offense at bay and come away with the victory. While their defense should lead the way, Denver’s offense should not be ignored here.
Denver has scored 15 touchdowns on offense this year, with nine different players finding the end zone. Running back J.K. Dobbins touches the ball far more than any other Bronco, and his matchup versus New York is well above-average. The Giants rank 31st in the NFL in defensive DVOA versus the run this year. They rank 30th in total rushing yards allowed to opposing running backs and are 29th in yards per carry allowed in the red zone. Dobbins has earned eight of the team’s nine carries inside their opponents’ 10-yard line this season. I expect Denver to exploit these edges and feature Dobbins down by the goal line. Therefore, I am betting the Broncos to win and Dobbins to score a touchdown.
Bet: J.K. Dobbins Anytime Touchdown Scorer/Denver Broncos to Win (+145 at BetMGM)